← Whale Watch

ottovonbismarck-377

Predicting since Jun 202482 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?MentionsYesResolved$24.9¢0.0¢-$2
Men's Group C - Germany vs. LatviaHockey (other)GermanyResolved$1136¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$153.0¢0.0¢-$15
US government shutdown by October 1?PoliticsNoResolved$1130¢0.0¢-$11
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)NFLBroncosResolved$2047¢0.0¢-$20
Men's Group B - Finland vs. SwedenHockey (other)SwedenResolved$226¢0.0¢-$2
Will anyone say "Predict" or "Prediction" 10+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?MentionsYesResolved$2468¢0.0¢-$24
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?PoliticsNoResolved$53.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 9?CryptoNoResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?PoliticsYesResolved$1514¢0.0¢-$15
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?TechNoResolved$1022¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$5060¢0.0¢-$50
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$102.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 22?CryptoYesResolved$611¢0.0¢-$6
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?MentionsYesResolved$1018¢0.0¢-$10
Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberPoliticsYesResolved$1036¢0.0¢-$10
Men's Group C - USA vs. GermanyHockey (other)GermanyResolved$168.5¢0.0¢-$16
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?PoliticsYesResolved$5222¢0.0¢-$52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 22?CryptoNoResolved$617¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Grokipedia released by October 31?TechNoResolved$861¢0.0¢-$8
Will Kamala Harris say "Charlie" or "Kirk" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?MentionsYesResolved$1041¢0.0¢-$10
USA vs. Denmark: O/U 5.5Hockey (other)UnderResolved$333¢0.0¢-$3
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?Champions LeagueYesResolved$1747¢0.0¢-$17
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?TechYesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Solana Up or Down on September 30?CryptoUpResolved$2519¢0.0¢-$25
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?MentionsNoResolved$1022¢0.0¢-$10
Netanyahu out by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$76.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 8?CryptoYesResolved$1058¢0.0¢-$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 12?CryptoNoResolved$1037¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1037¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$520¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on September 30?CryptoNoResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$157.3¢0.0¢-$15
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?PoliticsNoResolved$1047¢0.0¢-$10
Will Stan Marsh make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?CultureYesResolved$655¢0.0¢-$6
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Hockey (other)YesResolved$36.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Hockey (other)YesResolved$2053¢0.0¢-$20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 16?CryptoYesResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?CryptoYesResolved$4053¢0.0¢-$40
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-09-20?BundesligaYesResolved$938¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump say "Canada" or "Canadian" 15+ times during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?MentionsNoResolved$1036¢0.0¢-$10
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-10-18?BundesligaYesResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 11?CryptoYesResolved$1031¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?MentionsYesResolved$1031¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$166
Bundesliga+$109
Mentions-$76
Soccer (other)+$30
Hockey (other)-$19
Champions League-$17
Tech-$16
La Liga+$15
Premier League+$14
NFL-$11
Culture-$6
Economy-$1
Biggest hit
+$44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 7?
Toughest beat
-$27
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in October?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$02mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$52mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$52mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$102mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$52mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$52mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$52mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$52mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$52mo ago
  • Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$102mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$52mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$12mo ago