← Whale Watch

Frog-Prince

Predicting since Oct 20251,264 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.9K on Weather markets since Oct 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 27?WeatherYes$123.3¢24¢+$72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?WeatherYes$4020¢32¢+$24
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?WeatherYes$4221¢30¢+$17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsYes$2323¢34¢+$11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?WeatherYes$216.1¢9.0¢+$10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsYes$1313¢8.3¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 27?WeatherYes$51.2¢1.5¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$99.1¢4.3¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$55.3¢1.1¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on July 18?WeatherYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 7?WeatherYesResolved$226.9¢0.0¢-$22
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$31.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9?WeatherYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?WeatherYesResolved$50.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$61.1¢0.0¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 29?WeatherYesResolved$4714¢0.0¢-$47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?WeatherYesResolved$133.4¢0.0¢-$13
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$918¢0.0¢-$9
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1417¢0.0¢-$14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$109.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 14?WeatherYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 19?WeatherYesResolved$31.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 14?WeatherYesResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 0 Colombia?World CupYesResolved$168.0¢0.0¢-$16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 7?WeatherYesResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Japan?World CupYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?World CupYesResolved$47.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 25?WeatherYesResolved$9246¢0.0¢-$92
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 5?WeatherYesResolved$44.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 16?WeatherYesResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$918¢0.0¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15?WeatherYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 1?WeatherYesResolved$178.3¢0.0¢-$17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?WeatherYesResolved$31.4¢0.0¢-$3
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 1 Tunisia?World CupYesResolved$2424¢0.0¢-$24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 5?WeatherYesResolved$88.4¢0.0¢-$8
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia?World CupYesResolved$85.7¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 8?WeatherYesResolved$2211¢0.0¢-$22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 22?WeatherYesResolved$2119¢0.0¢-$21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?WeatherYesResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$62.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?WeatherYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Korea Republic?World CupYesResolved$1127¢0.0¢-$11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 12?WeatherYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 15?WeatherYesResolved$31.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$157.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 25?WeatherYesResolved$3121¢0.0¢-$31
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?World CupNoResolved$1010¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 18?WeatherYesResolved$61.2¢0.0¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$30.7¢0.0¢-$3
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?World CupYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Colombia?World CupYesResolved$33.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 17?WeatherYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1110¢0.0¢-$11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?WeatherYesResolved$141.9¢0.0¢-$14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?WeatherYesResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria?World CupYesResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 18?WeatherYesResolved$611¢0.0¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16?WeatherYesResolved$87.5¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?WeatherYesResolved$2325¢0.0¢-$23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 22?WeatherYesResolved$31.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 14?WeatherYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?WeatherYesResolved$1122¢0.0¢-$11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 14?WeatherYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 5?WeatherYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?WeatherYesResolved$2518¢0.0¢-$25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 17?WeatherYesResolved$70.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 30?WeatherYesResolved$61.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12?WeatherYesResolved$31.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?WeatherYesResolved$1510¢0.0¢-$15
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?World CupYesResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$47.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$87.5¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 9?WeatherYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 1?WeatherYesResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?World CupYesResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 1 Tunisia?World CupYesResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?WeatherYesResolved$122.4¢0.0¢-$12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 20?WeatherYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$358.8¢0.0¢-$35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?World CupYesResolved$23.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$73.4¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 24?WeatherYesResolved$152.5¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on July 25?WeatherYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?WeatherYesResolved$196.2¢0.0¢-$19
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$40.9¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$136.5¢0.0¢-$13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 11?WeatherYesResolved$21.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12?WeatherYesResolved$31.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13?WeatherYesResolved$199.7¢0.0¢-$19
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal?World CupYesResolved$3316¢0.0¢-$33
Exact Score: Any Other Score?World CupYesResolved$47.0¢0.0¢-$4
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 Senegal?World CupYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1615¢0.0¢-$16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?WeatherYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?WeatherYesResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather-$2.9K
World Cup-$937
Politics+$843
Tech-$16
Soccer (other)-$9
Crypto-$1
Biggest hit
+$273
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$148
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 27?$13h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 27?$23h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 27?$04h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$174h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 27?$24h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$65h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$45h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$145h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 27?$37h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 27?$17h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 27?$07h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?$318h ago