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Arbalian

Predicting since Mar 202564 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$1031¢62¢+$10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1031¢20¢-$4
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$1020¢8.5¢-$6
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?PoliticsYes$1024¢9.5¢-$6
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?PoliticsYes$1048¢19¢-$6
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$1541¢0.0¢-$15
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?PoliticsNoResolved$1056¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$61
Crypto-$48
World Cup-$20
Weather-$15
Economy+$11
Tech+$10
Finance-$6
NFL+$5
Culture-$5
Biggest hit
+$14
Ethereum all time high by September 30?
Toughest beat
-$35
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$106d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$106d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$106d ago
  • Bought Argentina · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$156d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$51mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?$101mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?$101mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$01mo ago
  • Sold No · Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$141mo ago
  • Sold No · Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$141mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$161mo ago
  • Cashed out No · US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$1161mo ago