← Whale Watch

Nobi9630

Predicting since Mar 202531 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $803 riding on Which company has best AI model end of April?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?TechYesResolved$51.8¢0.0¢-$5
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$711¢0.0¢-$7
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$50.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$81.8¢0.0¢-$8
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?TechYesResolved$80316¢0.0¢-$803
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-10-11?Soccer (other)YesResolved$226.9¢0.0¢-$22
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$56.1¢0.0¢-$5
DeepSeek R2 released before May?TechYesResolved$23012¢0.0¢-$230
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$332.1¢0.0¢-$33
DeepSeek V4 released before May?TechYesResolved$8926¢0.0¢-$89
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$51.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Portugal vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?PoliticsNoResolved$560.9¢0.0¢-$56
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$867
Politics-$175
Soccer (other)-$32
Biggest hit
+$373
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Toughest beat
-$55
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?$51mo ago
  • Sold No · Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$36mo ago
  • Sold No · Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$06mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$16mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$16mo ago
  • Cashed out No · No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$06mo ago
  • Bought No · Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$186mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$56mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$56mo ago
  • Bought No · Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$206mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$106mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$156mo ago