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kaifu-lodge

Predicting since Jan 202699 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $614 riding on Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$1353¢100¢+$12
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?PoliticsNo$1758¢79¢+$6
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$3143¢21¢-$16
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechYesResolved$38144¢0.0¢-$381
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 3 of the 2026 flu season be between 50 and 60?TechNoResolved$619.0¢0.0¢-$61
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" or "Golfing" this week? (March 22)MentionsNoResolved$27937¢0.0¢-$279
Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$17311¢0.0¢-$173
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris BasketballBasketball (other)Paris BasketballResolved$61448¢0.0¢-$614
Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" during the State of the Union address?MentionsYesResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?CultureNoResolved$10918¢0.0¢-$109

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$690
Basketball (other)-$379
Politics+$301
Soccer (other)-$244
Bundesliga+$224
Tech-$183
Culture+$169
eSports-$101
La Liga+$69
Mentions+$68
Champions League+$58
Weather-$37
Biggest hit
+$428
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
Toughest beat
-$206
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$471mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$291mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?$2833mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$1873mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$3513mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?$3323mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$1.4K3mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?$2783mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?$3883mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?$6753mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$3813mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$1613mo ago