 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)Mentions | YesResolved | $9 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the December meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Zelensky in Alaska by Sunday?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Bank of England rate cut in 2025?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?NFL | NoResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsNFL | PatriotsResolved | $5 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Under 15% by Friday?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?Finance | NoResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Sold No · US government shutdown Saturday?$105mo ago