Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 3.8¢ | 5.1¢ | +$4 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 27¢ | 27¢ | -$0 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $7 | 38¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 2.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Israel x Syria security agreement by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will India join the Board of Peace?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Iran strike Syria in March?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US strike on Cuba by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |