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Instructive-Caper

Predicting since Nov 202039 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1.7K riding on Iran leader end of 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K27¢21¢-$409
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.3K5.3¢1.4¢-$941
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$130.6¢0.0¢-$13
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$181.8¢0.0¢-$18
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50.7¢0.0¢-$5
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$131.3¢0.0¢-$13
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$151.5¢0.0¢-$15
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$60.3¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump say "Armada" during meeting with Netanyahu?MentionsYesResolved$1015¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1501.5¢0.0¢-$150
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$273.8¢0.0¢-$27
Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?MentionsYesResolved$1741¢0.0¢-$17
Will Trump say "B2" or "F35" during meeting with Netanyahu?MentionsYesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6811.4¢0.0¢-$681
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$120.6¢0.0¢-$12
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5000.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$341.1¢0.0¢-$34
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$431.4¢0.0¢-$43
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$171.7¢0.0¢-$17
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$150.5¢0.0¢-$15
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$80.4¢0.0¢-$8
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$212.1¢0.0¢-$21
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$100.5¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$65
Mentions-$37
Crypto-$30
Other-$7
Olympics+$0
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$199
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by July 31?$233d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by July 31?$13d ago
  • Bought No · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1004d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by July 31?$354d ago
  • Bought No · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.6K4d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by July 31?$1.2K4d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by July 31?$114d ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$284mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$154mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$604mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$54mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$54mo ago