← Whale Watch

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508 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $74K on Politics markets.

Right now: $9.5K riding on US military action against Cuba by...?.

Biggest hit: +$43K on Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$6.3K88¢97¢+$666
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$9.5K53¢33¢-$3.7K
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$3.3K91¢97¢+$210
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K37¢100¢+$2.1K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.2K66¢80¢+$243
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyNo$90070¢92¢+$269
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$12512¢93¢+$819
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.2K27¢18¢-$407
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechYes$2.1K75¢29¢-$1.3K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$59433¢21¢-$225
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$56529¢15¢-$268
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$4427¢85¢+$94
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$7979¢83¢+$4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$7272¢80¢+$8
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$3778¢97¢+$9
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$815.9¢2.8¢-$43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1770¢86¢+$4
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$2914¢8.5¢-$12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2020¢17¢-$3
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$1919¢7.2¢-$12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1030¢20¢-$3
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?PoliticsNo$482¢71¢-$1
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$229.6¢0.9¢-$20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$4410.0¢0.4¢-$42
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$550¢14¢-$4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
US recession in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$2.0K49¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?Champions LeagueNoResolved$1925¢0.0¢-$19
Delray Beach Open: Adam Walton vs Gabriel DialloTennisDialloResolved$1116¢0.0¢-$11
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$76314¢0.0¢-$763
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 133.5College HoopsUnderResolved$14653¢0.0¢-$146
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-25?Soccer (other)YesResolved$7737¢0.0¢-$77
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-25?Soccer (other)YesResolved$4946¢0.0¢-$49
Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$26433¢0.0¢-$264
76ers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineNBACelticsResolved$5572¢0.0¢-$55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$44382¢0.0¢-$443
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$1.6K14¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$1283.5¢0.0¢-$128
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-02-28?MLSNoResolved$336¢0.0¢-$3
Saski Baskonia vs. KK Crvena ZvezdaBasketball (other)Saski BaskoniaResolved$2549¢0.0¢-$25
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut HuskiesCollege HoopsMichigan State SpartansResolved$3.9K43¢0.0¢-$3.9K
Cavaliers vs. GrizzliesNBAGrizzliesResolved$59411¢0.0¢-$594
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-02-25?Soccer (other)YesResolved$3115¢0.0¢-$31
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 140.5College HoopsOverResolved$9648¢0.0¢-$96
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue DevilsCollege HoopsTCU Horned FrogsResolved$58513¢0.0¢-$585
Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?TechYesResolved$421.0¢0.0¢-$42
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson TideCollege HoopsHofstra PrideResolved$629.0¢0.0¢-$62
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-25?Soccer (other)YesResolved$6449¢0.0¢-$64
Kentucky Wildcats vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (W)Basketball (other)West Virginia MountaineersResolved$2044¢0.0¢-$20
Will SpaceX raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?TechYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Pistons vs. MagicNBAPistonsResolved$2.9K53¢0.0¢-$2.9K
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-27?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan WolverinesCollege HoopsTennessee VolunteersResolved$1.3K24¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$22811¢0.0¢-$228
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$917¢0.0¢-$9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?Champions LeagueYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?FinanceNoResolved$50251¢0.0¢-$502
Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?TechYesResolved$681.3¢0.0¢-$68
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Antonia Ruzic vs Elina SvitolinaTennisRuzicResolved$413¢0.0¢-$4
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel AvivBasketball (other)ASVEL Lyon-VilleurbanneResolved$1145¢0.0¢-$11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$22424¢0.0¢-$224
Magic vs. 76ersNBAMagicResolved$347.0¢0.0¢-$34
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$252.0¢0.0¢-$25
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)College HoopsDuke Blue DevilsResolved$6950¢0.0¢-$69
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?World CupYesResolved$1116¢0.0¢-$11
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson TideCollege HoopsTexas Tech Red RaidersResolved$275.1¢0.0¢-$27
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$711¢0.0¢-$7
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?TechNoResolved$1.2K19¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$1418¢0.0¢-$14
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$16955¢0.0¢-$169
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$19713¢0.0¢-$197
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1.7K35¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Premier LeagueBrighton & Hove Albion FCResolved$020¢0.0¢-$0
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)College HoopsMiami HurricanesResolved$574¢0.0¢-$5
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5NBAOverResolved$2451¢0.0¢-$24
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$59240¢0.0¢-$592
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2.0K15¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Champions LeagueOverResolved$68068¢0.0¢-$680
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11215¢0.0¢-$112
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$12542¢0.0¢-$125
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-2.5)College HoopsSt. Johns Red StormResolved$870¢0.0¢-$8
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?NBAYesResolved$827¢0.0¢-$8
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-02-28?MLSYesResolved$2039¢0.0¢-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?FinanceYesResolved$10311¢0.0¢-$103
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State SpartansCollege HoopsLouisville CardinalsResolved$2.8K34¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red SoxMLBDetroit TigersResolved$2169¢0.0¢-$21
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)NBAThunderResolved$30.8¢0.0¢-$3
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$3010.0¢0.0¢-$30
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnereSportsTeam VitalityResolved$1713.8¢0.0¢-$171
Delray Beach Open: Adam Walton vs Tommy PaulTennisWaltonResolved$711¢0.0¢-$7
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?EconomyYesResolved$65312¢0.0¢-$653
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?PoliticsNoResolved$3222¢0.0¢-$32
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?Champions LeagueNoResolved$183.7¢0.0¢-$18
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$3025¢0.0¢-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffseSportsMovistar KOIResolved$1.1K31¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?TechYesResolved$05.3¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$74K
College Hoops-$19K
Other-$12K
Basketball (other)+$9.9K
Champions League+$9.2K
NBA+$7.5K
Finance+$4.9K
Economy+$2.6K
Crypto-$2.1K
eSports+$1.7K
Tech-$1.7K
Culture+$769
Biggest hit
+$43K
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Toughest beat
-$25K
Fed rate cut by May 1?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$664d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$27d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$211d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$411d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$111d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$211d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2012d ago