← Whale Watch

d1k21

Predicting since Jan 20242,320 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $28K on Politics markets since Jan 2024.

Right now: $58K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$309K on Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$29K50¢80¢+$17K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$29K50¢20¢-$17K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2.0K20¢82¢+$6.2K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2.0K20¢17¢-$275
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$8036¢54¢+$39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$12958¢42¢-$37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$5192¢95¢+$1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$244.7¢3.6¢-$5
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?CultureYesResolved$12.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?EconomyYesResolved$7811¢0.0¢-$78
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?EconomyYesResolved$7811¢0.0¢-$78
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?EconomyYesResolved$7811¢0.0¢-$78
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?EconomyYesResolved$7811¢0.0¢-$78
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsYesResolved-$1-0.0¢0.0¢+$1
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?EconomyYesResolved$7811¢0.0¢-$78
Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$363.6¢0.0¢-$36
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?EconomyYesResolved$7811¢0.0¢-$78

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$28K
Crypto+$6.2K
Economy+$5.1K
Other sports-$3.0K
NFL+$550
Other-$174
NBA+$156
Finance+$152
Mentions+$86
Tech+$73
Weather-$26
NHL-$26
Biggest hit
+$309K
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Toughest beat
-$31K
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

  • SPLIT Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10K2d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$10K2d ago
  • Sold No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$2273d ago
  • Sold No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$344d ago
  • Sold No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$2204d ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$1315d ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$3505d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$305d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$335d ago