← Whale Watch

pako

Predicting since Oct 2024476 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $413K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $108K riding on Fed Decision in July?.

Biggest hit: +$87K on No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$108K92¢80¢-$14K
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$69K68¢30¢-$39K
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$6.9K27¢82¢+$14K
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$6.3K91¢92¢+$50
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$3.9K56¢88¢+$2.2K
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?EconomyNo$4.1K77¢93¢+$833
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3.1K75¢79¢+$176
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$9.1K66¢17¢-$6.7K
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$1.6K94¢96¢+$25
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$6.7K45¢9.5¢-$5.3K
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$92090¢93¢+$30
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1.9K19¢5.7¢-$1.3K
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?OtherYes$48885¢93¢+$45
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$92479¢32¢-$557
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$67481¢39¢-$351
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?PoliticsNo$20682¢90¢+$20
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?PoliticsNo$17374¢91¢+$40
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$48038¢13¢-$314
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoYes$20436¢30¢-$39
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$27324¢14¢-$119
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?CryptoNo$12580¢93¢+$20
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$15862¢38¢-$63
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?CryptoYes$10141¢35¢-$15
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?CryptoYes$25035¢9.5¢-$182
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$7171¢55¢-$16
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$4313¢14¢+$2
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$5625¢15¢-$21
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$2391¢80¢-$3
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$345.3¢2.9¢-$15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?PoliticsNo$1788¢90¢+$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$4545¢12¢-$34
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$2242¢19¢-$13
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$985¢94¢+$1
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$439¢80¢+$4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$2828¢7.5¢-$21
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?EconomyNo$874¢64¢-$1
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2030¢7.5¢-$15
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$364¢95¢+$2
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$481¢91¢+$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1019¢8.5¢-$6
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$476¢88¢+$1
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$486¢86¢-$0
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$71.6¢0.7¢-$4
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81CryptoYes$1164¢12¢-$9
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$107.0¢1.0¢-$9
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10.8¢1.1¢+$0
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$1012¢0.0¢-$10
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?EconomyYesResolved$102.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechYesResolved$438¢0.0¢-$4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?PoliticsNoResolved$18932¢0.0¢-$189
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?FinanceUpResolved$398.0¢0.0¢-$39
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?EconomyNoResolved$1648¢0.0¢-$16
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$657¢0.0¢-$6
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?EconomyNoResolved$228¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?CryptoUpResolved$6.2K10¢0.0¢-$6.2K
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Will Poland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?Basketball (other)YesResolved$12.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?EconomyYesResolved$3872.7¢0.0¢-$387
Ethereum flipped in 2026?CryptoNoResolved$17K80¢0.0¢-$17K
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?PoliticsYesResolved$2321¢0.0¢-$23
Will Trump's remarks not air?MentionsYesResolved$21.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$485¢0.0¢-$4
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?TechYesResolved$3547¢0.0¢-$35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$4.4K70¢0.0¢-$4.4K
Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026?CryptoNoResolved$14830¢0.0¢-$148
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$806.5¢0.0¢-$80
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4.0K92¢0.0¢-$4.0K
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?MentionsYesResolved$1723¢0.0¢-$17
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$815¢0.0¢-$8
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3633¢0.0¢-$36
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?World CupYesResolved$93093¢0.0¢-$930
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19?CryptoUpResolved$11011¢0.0¢-$110
US bank failure by January 31?EconomyNoResolved$9999¢0.0¢-$99
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?EconomyYesResolved$27.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?MentionsNoResolved$1633¢0.0¢-$16
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?FinanceYesResolved$757¢0.0¢-$7
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$661¢0.0¢-$6
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$83.7¢0.0¢-$8
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?EconomyNoResolved$25264¢0.0¢-$252
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?EconomyYesResolved$41.4¢0.0¢-$4
Aster all time high by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$917¢0.0¢-$9
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$72.9¢0.0¢-$7
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$737¢0.0¢-$7
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$336¢0.0¢-$3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10012¢0.0¢-$100
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?CryptoYesResolved$155.9¢0.0¢-$15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?PoliticsNoResolved$39364¢0.0¢-$393
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYesResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?CryptoNoResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$14357¢0.0¢-$143
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$190.6¢0.0¢-$19
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?Soccer (other)YesResolved$659¢0.0¢-$6
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "Congo" during events with Polish president on September 3?MentionsNoResolved$32849¢0.0¢-$328
Will the US strike another country first?PoliticsYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
US forces enter Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$22022¢0.0¢-$220
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?CryptoYesResolved$1010.0¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$413K
Crypto-$42K
Economy-$26K
World Cup-$1.4K
Tech-$924
Mentions-$491
Finance+$416
Other+$63
Soccer (other)-$6
Basketball (other)-$1
Biggest hit
+$87K
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$178K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?$481d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.3K1d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$8431d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.5K1d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.5K1d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.6K1d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$17K1d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.6K1d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$15K1d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$35K1d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$21K1d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7.8K1d ago