 Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Politics | No | $38 | 73¢ | 94¢ | +$11 |
 Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?Politics | No | $33 | 62¢ | 91¢ | +$15 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Tech | No | $46 | 92¢ | 81¢ | -$6 |
 Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | Yes | $43 | 82¢ | 68¢ | -$8 |
| Will no episode air?Mentions | No | $29 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will "Gulf" be in the headlines this week?Mentions | No | $21 | 68¢ | 84¢ | +$5 |
 Will "The Seemingly Perfect Family" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $13 | 57¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
 Will Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?Politics | No | $19 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 22?Weather | No | $16 | 75¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 12% or more?Politics | No | $19 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 73¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 SpaceXAI announces a full training pause in 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will Sparta Rotterdam be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?Soccer (other) | No | $18 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Dinamo Samarqand be relegated from the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?Soccer (other) | No | $19 | 91¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Will Old Dominion win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Culture | No | $19 | 91¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?Politics | No | $14 | 67¢ | 84¢ | +$4 |
 Will Jakub Rychtecký be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Politics | Yes | $20 | 47¢ | 42¢ | -$2 |
 Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?Politics | No | $18 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week?Culture | No | $17 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
 Will Viktor Lavička be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?Politics | No | $17 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
 Will Sporting Cristal be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?Soccer (other) | No | $14 | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will Aldo Ruberto win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Politics | No | $15 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 15%-20%?Politics | No | $14 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?Tech | No | $15 | 73¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
 Will “Swim” by BTS win Best K-Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture | Yes | $17 | 85¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Politics | No | $16 | 76¢ | 67¢ | -$2 |
 Will Algeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group I?Soccer (other) | Yes | $17 | 83¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?Economy | No | $13 | 67¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?Politics | No | $13 | 61¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Economy | No | $13 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Will Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Politics | No | $14 | 66¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 23?Weather | No | $14 | 67¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
 Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | No | $14 | 65¢ | 61¢ | -$1 |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%?Economy | No | $17 | 80¢ | 61¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?Weather | No | $13 | 69¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 43¢ | 54¢ | +$2 |
 Will The Black Ball win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $12 | 73¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sogdiana be relegated from the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?Soccer (other) | No | $19 | 91¢ | 53¢ | -$8 |
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $13 | 65¢ | 51¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump say "Walmart" in September?Mentions | No | $14 | 67¢ | 50¢ | -$4 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12?Politics | No | $12 | 57¢ | 50¢ | -$2 |
 Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?Politics | No | $11 | 68¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
 Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Politics | Yes | $10 | 47¢ | 49¢ | +$0 |
 Will Eric Woodward win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election?Politics | No | $12 | 58¢ | 49¢ | -$2 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $16 | 37¢ | 23¢ | -$6 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?Politics | Yes | $11 | 53¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 23?Weather | No | $11 | 64¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 23?Weather | No | $9 | 65¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 23?Weather | Yes | $9 | 58¢ | 62¢ | +$1 |
 Will Marti Zucco win the next Hobart mayoral election?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Politics | No | $10 | 53¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
 Will Guillaume Cliche-Rivard win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | No | $9 | 44¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
 Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Politics | No | $9 | 69¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
 Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $14 | 65¢ | 42¢ | -$5 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $11 | 54¢ | 42¢ | -$3 |
 Will Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 33¢ | 41¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 55%-60%?Politics | Yes | $9 | 42¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 74¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.0M and 7.1M in August?Economy | No | $7 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise win the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 69¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 15%-20%?Politics | No | $8 | 82¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
 Will Rory Nisan win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 31¢ | 32¢ | +$0 |
 Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Politics | Yes | $9 | 49¢ | 37¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 23?Weather | Yes | $7 | 31¢ | 32¢ | +$0 |
 Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 55¢ | +$5 |
 Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $6 | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 29¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Labour Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 32¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?Politics | Yes | $10 | 49¢ | 30¢ | -$4 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Politics | No | $7 | 34¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 23?Weather | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $11 | 51¢ | 28¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 23?Weather | No | $6 | 59¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 20%-25%?Politics | Yes | $8 | 36¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
 Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?Politics | No | $7 | 51¢ | 37¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Politics | No | $6 | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
 Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Finance | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 23?Weather | Yes | $7 | 33¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump post "Terrorism" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | Yes | $5 | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$0 |
 Will Netanyahu say "Drone" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Mentions | No | $7 | 65¢ | 49¢ | -$2 |
 Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Politics | No | $6 | 29¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 15%-20%?Politics | Yes | $6 | 32¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
 Will Karine Laflamme win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | No | $5 | 71¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics | No | $3 | 69¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 35¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Will Zenaide Maia win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 25m?Culture | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$0 |
 Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Politics | No | $5 | 81¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 3%-6%?Politics | Yes | $6 | 30¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
 Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 76¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?Tech | Yes | $10 | 49¢ | 21¢ | -$6 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.46% in September?Economy | No | $3 | 58¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 53¢ | 23¢ | -$6 |
 Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?Politics | No | $5 | 49¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 23?Weather | No | $4 | 59¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23?$517m ago
Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 23?$121m ago
Sold No · Will White House post 200+ posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?$429m ago
Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?$546m ago
Sold No · Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?$161h ago
Sold No · Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?$111h ago
Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 23?$41h ago