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brazilcarnaval

Predicting since Feb 202629 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran leadership change by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$557¢100¢+$4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$345¢0.0¢-$3
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiPoliticsYesResolved$1079¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5079¢0.0¢-$50
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?PoliticsNoResolved$529¢0.0¢-$5
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1975¢0.0¢-$19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$1565¢0.0¢-$15
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3066¢0.0¢-$30
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1081¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?PoliticsYesResolved$533¢0.0¢-$5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$557¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$138
Finance+$4
Biggest hit
+$13
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$6
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 19, 2026?$114mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$54mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 19, 2026?$104mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$154mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$94mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$44mo ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$174mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$104mo ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by April 30?$54mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$54mo ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$164mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$144mo ago