← Whale Watch

Baumfreund

Predicting since Nov 2024396 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.1K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$4040¢40¢-$1
Natural Disaster in 2026?WeatherNo$2755¢78¢+$12
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$2323¢14¢-$9
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?PoliticsYes$1223¢13¢-$5
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$418¢23¢+$1
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$112¢85¢+$4
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?TechYes$629¢7.5¢-$4
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$222¢14¢-$1
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?TechYesResolved$412¢0.0¢-$4
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?PoliticsYesResolved$37.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?EconomyYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?PoliticsYesResolved$3938¢0.0¢-$39
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$2323¢0.0¢-$23
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Pakistan strikes Afghanistan by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$34.0¢0.0¢-$3
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$663¢0.0¢-$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.1K
Tech+$206
Mentions+$188
Economy-$141
NFL+$117
Culture+$115
Crypto+$98
Other+$73
Weather+$49
Finance+$23
Other sports-$7
Soccer (other)+$4
Biggest hit
+$138
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?
Toughest beat
-$183
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?