sbregagnocche89

Predicting since Mar 2026253 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $5.9K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $2.0K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.2K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics	No	$1.0K	55¢	82¢	+$493
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$807	72¢	83¢	+$117
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	No	$561	72¢	94¢	+$169
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics	No	$607	87¢	98¢	+$81
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics	No	$510	72¢	93¢	+$147
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics	No	$563	95¢	99¢	+$24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$461	68¢	81¢	+$91
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$341	62¢	82¢	+$108
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	Yes	$356	60¢	67¢	+$36
Iran leadership change by August 15?Politics	No	$352	98¢	100¢	+$7
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics	No	$304	87¢	94¢	+$23
Iran leadership change by August 31?Politics	No	$292	94¢	97¢	+$10
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics	No	$204	89¢	95¢	+$15
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$158	79¢	98¢	+$39
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics	Yes	$152	78¢	94¢	+$31
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics	No	$147	98¢	100¢	+$2
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics	Yes	$99	62¢	93¢	+$50
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics	Yes	$135	90¢	99¢	+$14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics	Yes	$98	75¢	97¢	+$28
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics	No	$103	57¢	70¢	+$23
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics	No	$103	79¢	96¢	+$22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$101	78¢	92¢	+$18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$105	88¢	95¢	+$8
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics	No	$105	91¢	98¢	+$8
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Politics	Yes	$97	88¢	100¢	+$13
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics	No	$102	93¢	99¢	+$7
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics	No	$98	89¢	98¢	+$10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	No	$101	84¢	89¢	+$6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	Yes	$100	59¢	52¢	-$13
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics	No	$56	70¢	81¢	+$9
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics	No	$50	62¢	79¢	+$13
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$52	65¢	75¢	+$8
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$72	80¢	65¢	-$14
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics	No	$53	88¢	92¢	+$2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics	No	$53	88¢	84¢	-$3
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$51	86¢	80¢	-$3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$50	62¢	59¢	-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$5.9K

Crypto+$582

World Cup-$26

Mentions+$14

Tech+$6

Finance-$1

Biggest hit

+$1.2K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$366

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Recent moves

Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$533h ago
Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$536h ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?$1108h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$5117h ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?$10918h ago
Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$481d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$501d ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$511d ago
Bought No · Iran leadership change by August 15?$3521d ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$212d ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$512d ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$512d ago