← Whale Watch

Nicgar

Predicting since Mar 2026156 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$1477.8¢4.5¢-$62
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$6518¢14¢-$17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$706.4¢3.5¢-$32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$2050¢82¢+$13
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?PoliticsNo$5118¢9.1¢-$25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$2824¢21¢-$4
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2039¢44¢+$2
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1023¢45¢+$9
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsNo$208.0¢7.0¢-$3
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1518¢20¢+$2
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$2034¢28¢-$4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$151.8¢1.8¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$2016¢12¢-$6
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsNo$2022¢16¢-$6
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsYes$207.4¢5.2¢-$6
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsNo$1017¢24¢+$4
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$1033¢38¢+$1
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsYes$2012¢6.5¢-$9
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$2013¢7.0¢-$9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$1016¢17¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$1016¢17¢+$0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$100.7¢0.7¢-$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1014¢12¢-$1
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsYes$1029¢23¢-$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$25.3¢18¢+$5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$107.0¢3.9¢-$4
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?PoliticsNo$511¢9.7¢-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$50.4¢0.4¢-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$50.2¢0.1¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$106.5¢2.0¢-$7
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$20.9¢1.0¢+$0
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1012¢2.1¢-$8
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$55.1¢1.7¢-$3
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?TechYesResolved$121.3¢0.0¢-$12
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$56.9¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance+$423
Politics+$328
Weather-$141
Crypto-$124
World Cup-$64
Tech-$54
Economy-$14
Mentions-$11
Soccer (other)+$2
Biggest hit
+$382
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$112
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Iran Nuke before 2027?$103h ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1016h ago
  • Bought Yes · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$516h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$516h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1016h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1016h ago
  • Bought No · US x China tariff agreement by December 31?$1517h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$3317h ago
  • Bought Yes · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$519h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$101d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$101d ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$101d ago