 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $5.7K | 50¢ | 43¢ | -$822 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $4.4K | 66¢ | 71¢ | +$340 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $2.3K | 7.2¢ | 12¢ | +$1.5K |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $3.0K | 35¢ | 42¢ | +$518 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $2.1K | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$296 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $2.6K | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$248 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.9K | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$311 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.7K | 59¢ | 74¢ | +$453 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 25¢ | 24¢ | -$98 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $1.1K | 14¢ | 20¢ | +$394 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $961 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$48 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $801 | 66¢ | 81¢ | +$189 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $578 | 5.4¢ | 8.8¢ | +$365 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $704 | 30¢ | 34¢ | +$104 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $566 | 73¢ | 84¢ | +$77 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $533 | 75¢ | 82¢ | +$48 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $519 | 40¢ | 45¢ | +$62 |
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Tech | Yes | $578 | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $501 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$3 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | Yes | $286 | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$181 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $219 | 8.4¢ | 17¢ | +$212 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | No | $323 | 59¢ | 75¢ | +$84 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $455 | 22¢ | 19¢ | -$72 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech | Yes | $456 | 64¢ | 49¢ | -$112 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $346 | 33¢ | 32¢ | -$6 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $229 | 14¢ | 21¢ | +$97 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $345 | 37¢ | 33¢ | -$42 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $199 | 12¢ | 19¢ | +$101 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Tech | Yes | $284 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $1.2K | 34¢ | 7.5¢ | -$907 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $240 | 40¢ | 42¢ | +$9 |
| Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by October 31?Politics | Yes | $201 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $197 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$15 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $262 | 76¢ | 60¢ | -$55 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $180 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$17 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $154 | 55¢ | 69¢ | +$40 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Tech | Yes | $435 | 72¢ | 32¢ | -$242 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $173 | 8.2¢ | 8.1¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $165 | 41¢ | 42¢ | +$2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | No | $215 | 73¢ | 56¢ | -$49 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $178 | 36¢ | 34¢ | -$12 |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $120 | 40¢ | 46¢ | +$17 |
| Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by August 30?Politics | Yes | $111 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $134 | 30¢ | 27¢ | -$17 |
 OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?Tech | OpenAI | $181 | 30¢ | 18¢ | -$72 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?Finance | Yes | $196 | 11¢ | 5.9¢ | -$89 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Tech | No | $82 | 67¢ | 74¢ | +$8 |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $60 | 20¢ | 25¢ | +$14 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $58 | 4.9¢ | 5.5¢ | +$8 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.5¢ | 17¢ | +$64 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $530 | 23¢ | 2.6¢ | -$469 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Tech | Yes | $57 | 59¢ | 61¢ | +$2 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $60 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$5 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Tech | Yes | $51 | 68¢ | 74¢ | +$4 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $125 | 23¢ | 9.5¢ | -$72 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $26 | 6.2¢ | 12¢ | +$22 |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Politics | Yes | $101 | 24¢ | 12¢ | -$54 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $57 | 3.4¢ | 2.6¢ | -$12 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $139 | 10¢ | 2.9¢ | -$100 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 31¢ | 59¢ | +$18 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $41 | 4.8¢ | 3.9¢ | -$8 |
 Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 10.0¢ | 15¢ | +$10 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $35 | 51¢ | 41¢ | -$7 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $50 | 7.6¢ | 4.2¢ | -$23 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $88 | 4.4¢ | 1.2¢ | -$64 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Tech | Yes | $18 | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
 Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $63 | 15¢ | 4.5¢ | -$45 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Tech | Yes | $4 | 15¢ | 56¢ | +$10 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $29 | 4.3¢ | 1.7¢ | -$17 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 1.1¢ | 0.5¢ | -$14 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 22¢ | 11¢ | -$11 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $6 | 3.2¢ | 4.7¢ | +$3 |
 Trump out as President by July 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$7 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $976 | 7.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$970 |
| Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $78 | 17¢ | 1.3¢ | -$72 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.5¢ | +$3 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $23 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$18 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Politics | Yes | $5 | 28¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by July 31?Tech | Yes | $25 | 12¢ | 1.5¢ | -$22 |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 3.0¢ | 2.7¢ | -$0 |
 Will Black Forest Labs have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 1.5¢ | 1.8¢ | +$0 |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 0.9¢ | 0.1¢ | -$11 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Tech | Yes | $1 | 4.8¢ | 7.6¢ | +$1 |
 Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Claude Mythos be released on June 18?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $110 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
| Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $137 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$137 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $35 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $24 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $35 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?Tech | NoResolved | $49 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
 Canadiens vs. HurricanesNHL | CanadiensResolved | $41 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 17, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $87 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $21 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $623 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$623 |
| Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
