← Whale Watch

Ap112

Predicting since Jun 2026202 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.1K on Politics markets since Jun 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$453.8¢43¢+$461
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$1004.6¢4.3¢-$6
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsYes$403.8¢2.8¢-$11
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$350.6¢0.4¢-$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5046¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?WeatherYesResolved$96.1¢0.0¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 6?WeatherYesResolved$2539¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1547¢0.0¢-$15
Spread: England (-1.5)World CupEnglandResolved$1022¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?WeatherNoResolved$867¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2550¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12PM ETCryptoUpResolved$4647¢0.0¢-$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1551¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1550¢0.0¢-$15
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?World CupYesResolved$4054¢0.0¢-$40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 6?WeatherYesResolved$2535¢0.0¢-$25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 3?WeatherYesResolved$1518¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1550¢0.0¢-$15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$275.0¢0.0¢-$27
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?WeatherNoResolved$104.6¢0.0¢-$10
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$153.7¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?WeatherYesResolved$3540¢0.0¢-$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$4047¢0.0¢-$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1550¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1550¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2551¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5552¢0.0¢-$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10053¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2554¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1550¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5552¢0.0¢-$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5057¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?WeatherYesResolved$2545¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5AM ETCryptoDownResolved$8054¢0.0¢-$80
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5050¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 2?WeatherYesResolved$103.8¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 10?WeatherYesResolved$108.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?WeatherYesResolved$1017¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3047¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 6?WeatherYesResolved$2018¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1550¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5555¢0.0¢-$55
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 6?WeatherYesResolved$56.1¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2551¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ETCryptoDownResolved$10053¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5051¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3018¢0.0¢-$30
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$2014¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1550¢0.0¢-$15
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?World CupYesResolved$2546¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1048¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5050¢0.0¢-$50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 1?CryptoNoResolved$2523¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10049¢0.0¢-$100
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$100.9¢0.0¢-$10
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$705.8¢0.0¢-$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1550¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9AM ETCryptoUpResolved$15057¢0.0¢-$150
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupYesResolved$3520¢0.0¢-$35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 2?WeatherYesResolved$4028¢0.0¢-$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1550¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 3?WeatherYesResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 2?WeatherYesResolved$157.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?WeatherYesResolved$4539¢0.0¢-$45
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$100.8¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1550¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 2?WeatherYesResolved$2516¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 10?WeatherYesResolved$1042¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5AM ETCryptoUpResolved$7551¢0.0¢-$75
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?EconomyNoResolved$100.9¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5050¢0.0¢-$50
France vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?World CupYesResolved$158.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$53.0¢0.0¢-$5
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupYesResolved$1513¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11?WeatherYesResolved$436¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2552¢0.0¢-$25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?PoliticsNoResolved$202.4¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5047¢0.0¢-$50
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$2017¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3053¢0.0¢-$30
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$102.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$64.1¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1551¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1550¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12PM ETCryptoUpResolved$5049¢0.0¢-$50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21?CryptoNoResolved$6014¢0.0¢-$60

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.1K
Finance+$568
Weather-$285
Crypto-$157
UFC / MMA-$125
World Cup-$72
Economy-$40
Culture-$17
Biggest hit
+$568
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Toughest beat
-$180
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1PM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6AM ET$52d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6AM ET$262d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$102d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9AM ET$263d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9AM ET$263d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9AM ET$1033d ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$103d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?$103d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$103d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$103d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8AM ET$263d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8AM ET$263d ago