← Whale Watch

chivoexpiatorio

Predicting since Jul 202487 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $6.1K on Economy markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $2.6K riding on KY-04 Republican Primary Winner.

Biggest hit: +$8.0K on Maduro out by March 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoNo$36243¢71¢+$231
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$24016¢27¢+$164
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?EconomyYes$2627¢17¢-$10
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$101.8¢0.0¢-$10
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?FinanceYesResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$42625¢0.0¢-$426
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10020¢0.0¢-$100
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?PoliticsYesResolved$172.6¢0.0¢-$17
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?PoliticsYesResolved$222.1¢0.0¢-$22
Tim Walz in jail by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$31.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$1659.0¢0.0¢-$165
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?FinanceYesResolved$192.3¢0.0¢-$19
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?FinanceYesResolved$1225.3¢0.0¢-$122
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2661.9¢0.0¢-$266
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15636¢0.0¢-$156
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$36943¢0.0¢-$369
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K18¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$892.1¢0.0¢-$89
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1712.1¢0.0¢-$171
Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$46416¢0.0¢-$464
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?FinanceYesResolved$41.0¢0.0¢-$4
Netanyahu out by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.4K4.8¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$5719.5¢0.0¢-$571
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$19972¢0.0¢-$199
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K30¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?PoliticsYesResolved$324.7¢0.0¢-$32
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?PoliticsYesResolved$2.6K49¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$17512¢0.0¢-$175
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K8.3¢0.0¢-$1.0K
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2210.5¢0.0¢-$221
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$25515¢0.0¢-$255

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Economy+$6.1K
Crypto+$3.7K
Politics-$2.2K
Mentions+$757
Other-$689
Finance+$608
Biggest hit
+$8.0K
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$3.8K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?