ChampagneSocialist

Predicting since Apr 2025155 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $13K on Tech markets since Apr 2025.

Right now: $1.2K riding on Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena).

Biggest hit: +$5.1K on Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Tech	No	$1.2K	92¢	99¢	+$96
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech	No	$1000	91¢	99¢	+$87
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech	No	$600	86¢	94¢	+$51
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Tech	No	$624	93¢	89¢	-$21
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech	No	$555	83¢	87¢	+$23
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Tech	No	$257	95¢	99¢	+$11
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$138	51¢	79¢	+$76
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech	No	$169	89¢	97¢	+$15
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$107	48¢	79¢	+$69
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech	No	$146	92¢	99¢	+$11
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$81	34¢	46¢	+$29
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Politics	Yes	$35	16¢	31¢	+$30
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$50	7.4¢	9.6¢	+$14
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Politics	Yes	$16	21¢	32¢	+$9
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$26	44¢	30¢	-$9
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics	Yes	$15	37¢	39¢	+$1
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech	Yes	$5	23¢	62¢	+$8
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?Economy	YesResolved	$7	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Politics	YesResolved	$10	47¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Meta have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$4	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$4
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$4	20¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$7	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Tech	YesResolved	$1	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$13K

Politics+$132

Economy-$58

Crypto+$45

Mentions+$7

Biggest hit

+$5.1K

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Toughest beat

-$3.4K

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?$36718h ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)$1.2K18h ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?$17018h ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$60318h ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?$1.0K18h ago
Bought Yes · Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?$3618h ago
Bought No · Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?$4318h ago
Bought Yes · Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?$1518h ago
Bought No · Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?$58318h ago
Bought No · Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?$19218h ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?$25818h ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?$14618h ago