Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 6.0¢ | 86¢ | +$161 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $31 | 17¢ | 42¢ | +$44 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 17¢ | 11¢ | -$10 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 8.8¢ | 5.5¢ | -$8 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 48¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $9 | 2.9¢ | 3.3¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $9 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.2¢ | 1.1¢ | -$1 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 5.4¢ | 2.5¢ | -$6 |
Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?Politics | Yes | $5 | 5.1¢ | 5.3¢ | +$0 |
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.2¢ | 0.6¢ | -$5 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 54¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $2 | 2.8¢ | 2.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 7.3¢ | 8.8¢ | +$0 |
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $24 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Finance | NoResolved | $10 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Trump say "Military" during Tribute to America Rally?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $60 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $24 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $101 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |