← Whale Watch

DonaldinhoTrumpito

Predicting since Aug 20231,772 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.0M on Crypto markets since Aug 2023.

Right now: $237K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

Biggest hit: +$184K on Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$237K98¢99¢+$2.8K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$40K20¢81¢+$122K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$98K98¢99¢+$1.2K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$37K75¢81¢+$3.0K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$40K20¢18¢-$3.5K
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$27K93¢96¢+$848
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$22K91¢95¢+$1.0K
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$1.9K85¢100¢+$345
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$40K20¢0.4¢-$39K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$31687¢94¢+$24
French election called by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$33199¢99¢+$2
Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$17591¢95¢+$8
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$113¢26¢+$1
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.6K44¢0.1¢-$1.6K
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$15.2¢13¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$1.0M
Politics-$340K
Mentions+$102K
Other sports-$17K
Champions League+$13K
UFC / MMA+$4.5K
Olympics+$3.0K
Soccer (other)+$1.8K
Culture+$1.5K
NBA-$1.3K
Basketball (other)-$1.2K
Tennis+$1.0K
Biggest hit
+$184K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Toughest beat
-$365K
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2471h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$691h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$12K1h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$3.9K1h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$15K2h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5792h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$3472h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2312h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$162h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$212h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$13h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$463h ago