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cynical.reason

Predicting since Feb 202695 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $120K on Culture markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $17K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$85K on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.0K27¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$1072.5¢0.0¢-$107
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsNoResolved$1.0K11¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$14535¢0.0¢-$145
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$7601.9¢0.0¢-$760
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?PoliticsYesResolved$17K12¢0.0¢-$17K
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$244.8¢0.0¢-$24
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$74142¢0.0¢-$741
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?PoliticsYesResolved$9415¢0.0¢-$94
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$7567.0¢0.0¢-$756
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsNoResolved$1602.9¢0.0¢-$160
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$4691.3¢0.0¢-$469
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K13¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9962.7¢0.0¢-$996
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?PoliticsYesResolved$122.0¢0.0¢-$12

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture+$120K
Politics+$84K
Olympics-$1.9K
Boxing+$52
Biggest hit
+$85K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Toughest beat
-$51K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$01mo ago
  • Sold No · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$21mo ago
  • Sold No · Iran coup attempt by June 30?$982mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$93K2mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$3432mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$42mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$272mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$302mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$102mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$02mo ago