 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $776 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $428 | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$9 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Politics | No | $372 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
 Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?Culture | No | $293 | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$8 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?Economy | No | $193 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $220 | 69¢ | 56¢ | -$39 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | Yes | $133 | 42¢ | 47¢ | +$17 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | Yes | $196 | 75¢ | 53¢ | -$59 |
| Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics | No | $106 | 38¢ | 48¢ | +$27 |
 Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?MLB | No | $80 | 44¢ | 72¢ | +$50 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Economy | No | $136 | 64¢ | 61¢ | -$7 |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $122 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLB | No | $110 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | No | $146 | 73¢ | 55¢ | -$36 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?Politics | Yes | $106 | 74¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $80 | 67¢ | 87¢ | +$25 |
 Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Tech | No | $127 | 97¢ | 80¢ | -$22 |
 Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | No | $96 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Will Wilyer Abreu win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?MLB | No | $94 | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$2 |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $61 | 58¢ | 88¢ | +$31 |
 Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Tech | No | $90 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Oakland Athletics win the 2026 AL West title?MLB | No | $88 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics | No | $63 | 53¢ | 67¢ | +$15 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | No | $79 | 99¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Tech | Yes | $75 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?Culture | No | $73 | 92¢ | 89¢ | -$3 |
 Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 NL Central title?MLB | No | $71 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?Politics | Yes | $71 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$2 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $62 | 65¢ | 72¢ | +$7 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | No | $60 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$6 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $66 | 80¢ | 76¢ | -$4 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?Politics | No | $69 | 88¢ | 78¢ | -$8 |
| Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by less than 5%?Politics | No | $53 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $53 | 27¢ | 31¢ | +$7 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Politics | No | $70 | 77¢ | 65¢ | -$11 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | No | $146 | 35¢ | 14¢ | -$89 |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $59 | 73¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
| Will Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $69 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $141 | 64¢ | 26¢ | -$85 |
 Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%?Economy | No | $42 | 68¢ | 88¢ | +$13 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?Economy | Yes | $33 | 33¢ | 54¢ | +$21 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?Economy | No | $46 | 79¢ | 91¢ | +$7 |
 California Immunology Research Bond PropositionPolitics | Yes | $55 | 57¢ | 53¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?Other | Yes | $16 | 4.0¢ | 12¢ | +$33 |
| Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $3B and $3.6B at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $41 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $72 | 80¢ | 53¢ | -$24 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-03 House seat?Politics | No | $47 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?Politics | No | $47 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?Politics | Yes | $45 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $42 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Politics | No | $37 | 67¢ | 81¢ | +$8 |
 Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?Crypto | No | $47 | 90¢ | 85¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?Politics | Yes | $46 | 92¢ | 89¢ | -$2 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $80 | 56¢ | 30¢ | -$38 |
| Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?Politics | No | $34 | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$9 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?Politics | Yes | $53 | 89¢ | 70¢ | -$11 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat?Politics | No | $42 | 83¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in July?Economy | No | $30 | 72¢ | 99¢ | +$11 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Economy | No | $40 | 67¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will Darren Jones be in the Burnham cabinet?Politics | No | $15 | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$25 |
| Will Jeff Weninger win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election?Politics | No | $16 | 40¢ | 99¢ | +$24 |
| Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by more than 15%?Politics | No | $37 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will Emily Engstler have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other) | No | $39 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $39 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
| Will Rafael Fiziev fight Dan Hooker next?UFC / MMA | No | $29 | 73¢ | 97¢ | +$10 |
 Will Taylor Brown come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?Culture | No | $37 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
| Will Vučić officially leave office by July 31?Politics | No | $27 | 67¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
| Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by less than 5%?Politics | No | $35 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $37 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Crypto | No | $67 | 43¢ | 24¢ | -$30 |
| Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 57¢ | 62¢ | +$3 |
 Will Drew Campbell come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?Culture | No | $37 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLB | No | $37 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $34 | 19¢ | 21¢ | +$3 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $73 | 82¢ | 41¢ | -$37 |
 Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?College Football | No | $36 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $36 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics | No | $33 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?Politics | No | $37 | 92¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?Tech | No | $34 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics | No | $36 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other) | No | $24 | 38¢ | 56¢ | +$11 |
| Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Soccer (other) | Yes | $24 | 32¢ | 47¢ | +$11 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?Politics | No | $35 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?Politics | No | $35 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?Crypto | No | $34 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
| Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central titleMLB | Yes | $31 | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
| Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $42 | 70¢ | 57¢ | -$8 |
 Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics | No | $35 | 88¢ | 83¢ | -$2 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $31 | 42¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
| Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?Politics | No | $35 | 87¢ | 81¢ | -$3 |
 Will Dplus Challengers win LCK CL 2026?eSports | No | $33 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $26 | 20¢ | 25¢ | +$6 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?Economy | Yes | $6 | 14¢ | 75¢ | +$26 |
 Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?Politics | No | $33 | 83¢ | 79¢ | -$2 |
 Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $31 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Culture | No | $31 | 44¢ | 45¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Politics | Yes | $33 | 73¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $33 | 83¢ | 77¢ | -$3 |
Sold Yes · Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?$721m ago
Sold Yes · IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?$49h ago
Sold Yes · Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?$112h ago