← Whale Watch

polemole

Predicting since Feb 2026519 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $12K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $3.8K across 5 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.5K on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5974¢100¢+$21
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$1563¢94¢+$7
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$750¢100¢+$7
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$918¢16¢-$1
Will the Republican Party win the TX-10 House seat?PoliticsNo$816¢13¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?CryptoNoResolved$251¢100¢+$2
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?PoliticsYes$337¢34¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?PoliticsNo$386¢90¢+$0
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$131¢66¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$279¢85¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$23.2¢2.4¢-$0
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$1718¢0.0¢-$17
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$36.9¢0.0¢-$3
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K36¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?PoliticsNoResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?TechNoResolved$5454¢0.0¢-$54
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1548.3¢0.0¢-$154
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?PoliticsNoResolved$28544¢0.0¢-$285
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiPoliticsYesResolved$22849¢0.0¢-$228
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?CultureNoResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1232¢0.0¢-$12
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue BoilermakersCollege HoopsQueens (NC) RoyalsResolved$70.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$66.5¢0.0¢-$6
Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.45% (HIGH) in April?PoliticsYesResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?CultureNoResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$4627¢0.0¢-$46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?WeatherYesResolved$1142¢0.0¢-$11
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?EconomyNoResolved$646¢0.0¢-$6
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$364.9¢0.0¢-$36
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?TechYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?PoliticsNoResolved$1113.8¢0.0¢-$111
Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$44.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?PoliticsYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska CornhuskersCollege HoopsVanderbilt CommodoresResolved$2.4K54¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?FinanceYesResolved$475¢0.0¢-$4
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?EconomyNoResolved$237.5¢0.0¢-$23
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$1156¢0.0¢-$11
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$23323¢0.0¢-$233
Will MrBeast's latest video get 18–20 million views on day 1?CultureNoResolved$9146¢0.0¢-$91
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$23678¢0.0¢-$236
Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?PoliticsNoResolved$3439¢0.0¢-$34
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$36.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?CultureNoResolved$14.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$36.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 23?WeatherYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$122.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will GIANTX win the LEC 2026 Versus?eSportsYesResolved$16.2¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.7K48¢0.0¢-$1.7K
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$51958¢0.0¢-$519
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 13?WeatherYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Kristi Noem out by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$8884¢0.0¢-$88
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue DevilsCollege HoopsTCU Horned FrogsResolved$1.3K13¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$611¢0.0¢-$6
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 75% by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$351.6¢0.0¢-$35
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$4742¢0.0¢-$47
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?Champions LeagueNoResolved$54054¢0.0¢-$540
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1888.2¢0.0¢-$188
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$273.0¢0.0¢-$27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 31?WeatherYesResolved$1025¢0.0¢-$10
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$30.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12716¢0.0¢-$127
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1169¢0.0¢-$11
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$31.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?TechYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Mercantile Bank (MBWM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$45.8¢0.0¢-$4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$14533¢0.0¢-$145
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?TechNoResolved$2828¢0.0¢-$28
Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$07.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$3671¢0.0¢-$36
UCF Knights vs. UCLA BruinsCollege HoopsUCF KnightsResolved$18018¢0.0¢-$180
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$841¢0.0¢-$8
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2327.9¢0.0¢-$232
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona WildcatsCollege HoopsLIU SharksResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$5735.5¢0.0¢-$573
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?eSportsYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5711¢0.0¢-$57
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$192.9¢0.0¢-$19
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas JayhawksCollege HoopsCalifornia Baptist LancersResolved$11011¢0.0¢-$110
Will Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$61.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1366¢0.0¢-$13
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$416.0¢0.0¢-$41
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$626¢0.0¢-$6
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5323¢0.0¢-$53
Will US Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$713¢0.0¢-$7
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$319¢0.0¢-$3
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$50257¢0.0¢-$502
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?PoliticsYesResolved$15578¢0.0¢-$155
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1436¢0.0¢-$14
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$2834¢0.0¢-$28
Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?PoliticsNoResolved$199.5¢0.0¢-$19
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$55.2¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$12K
College Hoops-$4.5K
Finance-$657
Champions League-$540
Culture-$502
Premier League+$421
Mentions+$292
Tech-$230
NBA-$174
eSports-$83
Economy-$66
Crypto+$61
Biggest hit
+$2.5K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$3.7K
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Recent moves

  • MERGE Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 31?$201mo ago
  • MERGE Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$241mo ago
  • MERGE Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$261mo ago
  • MERGE Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?$541mo ago
  • MERGE Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$801mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$101mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 31?$391mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 31?$451mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 31?$31mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 31?$21mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$101mo ago