 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 80¢ | +$4 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11mo ago
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