 Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $845 | 49¢ | 41¢ | -$149 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $154 | 28¢ | 29¢ | +$3 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | Yes | $140 | 25¢ | 20¢ | -$33 |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $67 | 41¢ | 64¢ | +$37 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 6.1¢ | 6.5¢ | +$5 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics | No | $168 | 15¢ | 6.5¢ | -$93 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $76 | 54¢ | 54¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $70 | 58¢ | 59¢ | +$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | Yes | $201 | 20¢ | 6.5¢ | -$136 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | Yes | $80 | 32¢ | 26¢ | -$17 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $66 | 22¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $145 | 31¢ | 13¢ | -$83 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | Yes | $68 | 9.5¢ | 8.5¢ | -$7 |
| Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $50 | 42¢ | 50¢ | +$10 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | Yes | $73 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$18 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $58 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $55 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | No | $45 | 9.0¢ | 11¢ | +$7 |
| Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $46 | 41¢ | 44¢ | +$3 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $69 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$23 |
| Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $54 | 27¢ | 23¢ | -$9 |
| Will Warsh say "Consumer Confidence" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $47 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
 Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $45 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$6 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | Yes | $46 | 5.7¢ | 4.8¢ | -$8 |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $41 | 69¢ | 62¢ | -$4 |
| Will Warsh say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $33 | 6.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$3 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | Yes | $121 | 11¢ | 2.9¢ | -$88 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | Yes | $44 | 35¢ | 23¢ | -$15 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $56 | 14¢ | 7.0¢ | -$28 |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $49 | 11¢ | 6.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $11 | 28¢ | 67¢ | +$15 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | No | $52 | 4.8¢ | 2.1¢ | -$29 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $33 | 3.0¢ | 2.1¢ | -$10 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $39 | 42¢ | 25¢ | -$16 |
| Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $25 | 28¢ | 24¢ | -$4 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Politics | Up | $16 | 43¢ | 51¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $50 | 2.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$32 |
| Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $42 | 29¢ | 12¢ | -$26 |
| Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $14 | 51¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $54 | 6.0¢ | 1.6¢ | -$40 |
| Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $15 | 21¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $47 | 9.6¢ | 2.8¢ | -$33 |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 16¢ | 6.0¢ | -$22 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 1.1¢ | 0.5¢ | -$13 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 0.4¢ | 0.6¢ | +$3 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $138 | 5.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$129 |
| Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $8 | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $15 | 8.5¢ | 4.5¢ | -$7 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Politics | Yes | $27 | 8.1¢ | 1.9¢ | -$21 |
| Will Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $5 | 36¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Politics | Yes | $10 | 14¢ | 8.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $4 | 22¢ | 30¢ | +$2 |
| Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $5 | 64¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $5 | 40¢ | 39¢ | -$0 |
 Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 6.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$2 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 2.3¢ | 0.7¢ | -$10 |
 Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 6.3¢ | 4.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $4 | 57¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Politics | No | $13 | 10¢ | 3.3¢ | -$9 |
| Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | No | $4 | 40¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
| Will Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $3 | 53¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Politics | No | $2 | 63¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.6¢ | 2.3¢ | -$0 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Politics | Up | $22 | 51¢ | 4.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.0¢ | 1.3¢ | -$2 |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $1 | 23¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |