← Whale Watch

0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710

Predicting since Feb 20266,227 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $16K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $15K across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$8.5K49¢88¢+$6.6K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$9.9K73¢100¢+$3.7K
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$5.4K36¢51¢+$2.1K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$3.3K35¢44¢+$807
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2.9K73¢100¢+$1.1K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2.1K54¢100¢+$1.8K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$2.8K77¢100¢+$826
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.1K53¢85¢+$1.2K
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K58¢100¢+$1.2K
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2.1K77¢95¢+$462
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2.3K82¢91¢+$250
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.9K74¢95¢+$530
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?World CupNoResolved$1.6K72¢100¢+$610
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$1.5K63¢94¢+$697
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchPoliticsNothingResolved$30514¢100¢+$1.8K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$81339¢100¢+$1.3K
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other)YesResolved$75241¢100¢+$1.1K
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6K81¢95¢+$271
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsNoResolved$28316¢100¢+$1.5K
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBANoResolved$79544¢100¢+$1.0K
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$1.5K82¢98¢+$276
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$24014¢100¢+$1.5K
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?World CupNoResolved$1.0K75¢100¢+$344
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$85453¢83¢+$484
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1.1K86¢100¢+$172
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?PoliticsYesResolved$72265¢100¢+$391
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$55550¢100¢+$544
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsNo$90380¢96¢+$177
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.0K72¢75¢+$37
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?EconomyNoResolved$90787¢100¢+$136
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?PoliticsNoResolved$76575¢100¢+$256
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Serie ANoResolved$77177¢100¢+$235
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueNoResolved$66368¢100¢+$312
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$64571¢100¢+$264
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisNoResolved$32939¢100¢+$522
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$90513¢12¢-$71
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$28635¢100¢+$543
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$59765¢88¢+$209
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$58472¢97¢+$199
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsNo$69472¢80¢+$77
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$12316¢100¢+$645
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$23130¢100¢+$529
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$40253¢100¢+$356
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$38452¢100¢+$349
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?PoliticsNo$60777¢89¢+$91
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?TechNoResolved$40359¢100¢+$284
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$77474¢66¢-$90
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsNoResolved$37255¢100¢+$305
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?PoliticsNo$61888¢95¢+$46
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$36259¢100¢+$249
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$47678¢100¢+$132
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?PoliticsNo$59586¢87¢+$7
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$48570¢87¢+$117
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsNo$53084¢95¢+$72
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Premier LeagueYesResolved$40768¢100¢+$189
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$83715¢11¢-$256
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?CultureYesResolved$33057¢100¢+$250
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sportsNo$29243¢80¢+$251
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?PoliticsNoResolved$28655¢100¢+$232
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$34066¢100¢+$176
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?CultureYesResolved$32967¢100¢+$163
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$38473¢93¢+$106
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$35072¢100¢+$136
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$47879¢81¢+$8
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsYesResolved$40083¢100¢+$82
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$43579¢87¢+$44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$26857¢100¢+$202
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$30049¢77¢+$168
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?PoliticsNo$39182¢95¢+$62
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$33575¢100¢+$112
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$10324¢100¢+$334
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?BoxingNo$31367¢91¢+$107
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$33771¢88¢+$80
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$26764¢100¢+$147
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechNoResolved$28569¢100¢+$128
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$26062¢98¢+$149
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?PoliticsNo$28864¢91¢+$120
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$30268¢92¢+$105
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?UFC / MMANo$8610.0¢46¢+$305
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?PoliticsYesResolved$21756¢100¢+$171
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?PoliticsNoResolved$31582¢100¢+$70
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?TechNo$29966¢84¢+$80
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?TechNoResolved$23362¢100¢+$143
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$25161¢89¢+$113
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$20057¢100¢+$150
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$32466¢71¢+$25
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?PoliticsNo$25950¢65¢+$81
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?PoliticsYes$26928¢34¢+$63
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$6620¢100¢+$264
Will Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?PoliticsNoResolved$26884¢100¢+$53
Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?PoliticsNoResolved$4615¢100¢+$263
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$28782¢88¢+$21
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherNo$31863¢58¢-$25
Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$16457¢100¢+$122
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$23183¢100¢+$48
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?PoliticsNo$22076¢96¢+$58
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?TechNoResolved$8332¢100¢+$173
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?TechYes$40689¢56¢-$150
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsNo$23487¢95¢+$20
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?NFLNo$13047¢91¢+$123

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$16K
Champions League-$7.7K
Premier League-$1.8K
Culture+$1.5K
World Cup+$1.5K
Tech-$1.2K
Soccer (other)+$1.1K
Basketball (other)-$706
NFL+$603
Tennis+$599
UFC / MMA+$432
Olympics+$389
Biggest hit
+$871
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2.4K
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?