← Whale Watch

quietparcel

Predicting since Apr 202630,547 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $12K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $2.7K across 32 Soccer (other) markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.3K on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will France win the UEFA EURO 2028?Soccer (other)Yes$11.5¢18¢+$15
Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028?Soccer (other)Yes$11.5¢16¢+$13
Will Larry Ellison be 3rd richest person on December 31?TechYes$12.7¢30¢+$7
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?EconomyYes$18.3¢36¢+$3
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$13.2¢14¢+$3
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$02.8¢96¢+$4
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?CultureYes$114¢91¢+$3
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 26?WeatherYes$09.1¢100¢+$3
Will Czech Republic win the UEFA EURO 2028?Soccer (other)Yes$11.5¢3.3¢+$2
Will Armenia win the UEFA EURO 2028?Soccer (other)Yes$11.5¢3.5¢+$2
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$02.0¢73¢+$3
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$13.2¢8.9¢+$2
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$13.2¢5.7¢+$1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?PoliticsYes$04.0¢67¢+$2
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?EconomyYes$133¢66¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?WeatherYes$09.1¢100¢+$2
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?EconomyYes$18.3¢20¢+$1
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$13.2¢7.3¢+$1
Will Sweden win the UEFA EURO 2028?Soccer (other)Yes$11.5¢3.4¢+$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$03.4¢77¢+$2
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?PoliticsYes$03.0¢61¢+$2
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$73.0¢0.9¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 27?WeatherYes$119.1¢1.7¢-$9
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$05.0¢90¢+$2
Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$03.2¢96¢+$2
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$73.0¢0.9¢-$5
Will A'ja Wilson have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other)Yes$03.3¢61¢+$2
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$01.1¢44¢+$2
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?PoliticsYes$133¢69¢+$1
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 26?WeatherYes$09.1¢64¢+$2
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$192.8¢0.3¢-$18
Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$013¢94¢+$1
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$13.2¢5.3¢+$1
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?NBAYes$882.8¢0.1¢-$87
Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?NBAYes$882.8¢0.1¢-$87
Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?NBAYes$872.8¢0.1¢-$85
Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?NBAYes$862.8¢0.1¢-$85
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBAYes$862.8¢0.1¢-$84
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?NBAYes$862.8¢0.1¢-$84
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?NBAYes$862.8¢0.1¢-$84
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?NBAYes$862.8¢0.1¢-$84
Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?NBAYes$862.8¢0.1¢-$84
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?NBAYes$862.8¢0.1¢-$84
Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?NBAYes$862.8¢0.1¢-$84
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?NBAYes$862.8¢0.1¢-$84
Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?NBAYes$862.8¢0.1¢-$84
Will Switzerland win the UEFA EURO 2028?Soccer (other)Yes$11.5¢2.3¢+$1
Will Angélica María Dueñas win the CA-29 House seat?PoliticsYes$217¢14¢-$0
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherYes$02.1¢36¢+$1
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$01.1¢26¢+$1
Will Hungary win the UEFA EURO 2028?Soccer (other)Yes$11.5¢1.5¢-$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsYes$01.7¢81¢+$1
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Soccer (other)Yes$05.9¢31¢+$1
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherYes$02.1¢32¢+$1
Will George Pickens play for Green Bay Packers in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢42¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 27?WeatherYes$09.1¢50¢+$1
Will Estonia win the UEFA EURO 2028?Soccer (other)Yes$11.5¢1.5¢-$0
Will George Pickens play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢40¢+$1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyYes$011¢39¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 27?WeatherYes$09.1¢34¢+$1
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?CultureYes$06.3¢94¢+$1
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$01.9¢96¢+$1
Will Republic of Ireland win the UEFA EURO 2028?Soccer (other)Yes$11.5¢1.4¢-$0
Will George Pickens play for Arizona Cardinals in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢37¢+$1
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?WeatherYes$025¢93¢+$1
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$05.3¢57¢+$1
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?TechYes$02.7¢41¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$12K
Weather+$6.6K
Culture+$3.2K
Soccer (other)+$1.0K
NHL+$704
eSports+$654
NBA-$478
Economy-$373
Crypto+$347
Basketball (other)+$204
Formula 1-$142
Premier League-$137
Biggest hit
+$1.3K
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$144
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1131s ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4031s ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 27?$02m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 27?$92m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 27?$92m ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$402m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 28?$92m ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$403m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 27?$43m ago
  • Bought No · Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$264m ago
  • Bought No · Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$104m ago
  • CONVERSION MLB World Series Champion 2026$107m ago