 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $3.9K | 44¢ | 63¢ | +$1.7K |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3.3K | 74¢ | 90¢ | +$701 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$96 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $4.9K | 53¢ | 38¢ | -$1.4K |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $2.1K | 63¢ | 72¢ | +$289 |
 Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $2.5K | 76¢ | 71¢ | -$151 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 73¢ | 91¢ | +$266 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$6 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1.1K | 69¢ | 80¢ | +$164 |
 Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$31 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $1.1K | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$38 |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $1.1K | 34¢ | 27¢ | -$223 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $524 | 70¢ | 91¢ | +$151 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $523 | 55¢ | 63¢ | +$79 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $573 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.1K | 25¢ | 11¢ | -$637 |
 Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $417 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$16 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $368 | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$3 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $318 | 31¢ | 33¢ | +$24 |
| Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?Politics | Over | $271 | 65¢ | 79¢ | +$56 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $576 | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | -$275 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $330 | 42¢ | 38¢ | -$32 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $269 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$17 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $287 | 18¢ | 18¢ | -$7 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $408 | 25¢ | 17¢ | -$143 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $215 | 77¢ | 92¢ | +$40 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $276 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$33 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $89 | 31¢ | 84¢ | +$153 |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $213 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?Politics | CDU | $206 | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $150 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$15 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $125 | 70¢ | 89¢ | +$35 |
 Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Politics | Yes | $127 | 67¢ | 83¢ | +$29 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Politics | No | $393 | 25¢ | 10¢ | -$237 |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $152 | 78¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | No | $175 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$36 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $53 | 35¢ | 89¢ | +$81 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $101 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$3 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Politics | Yes | $51 | 51¢ | 96¢ | +$45 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $95 | 41¢ | 41¢ | -$1 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Politics | Yes | $66 | 72¢ | 99¢ | +$25 |
| Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $95 | 21¢ | 19¢ | -$9 |
 Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $102 | 49¢ | 40¢ | -$19 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $82 | 58¢ | 59¢ | +$1 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Politics | M | $73 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$7 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Tech | No | $61 | 66¢ | 75¢ | +$8 |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD?Politics | SPD | $61 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $75 | 22¢ | 18¢ | -$14 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $97 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | -$41 |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $46 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $51 | 19¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $162 | 56¢ | 16¢ | -$117 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $40 | 21¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $24 | 61¢ | 85¢ | +$9 |
 Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Politics | Yes | $58 | 31¢ | 14¢ | -$32 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $59 | 21¢ | 8.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $18 | 45¢ | 50¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $93 | 61¢ | 9.0¢ | -$79 |
| Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $16 | 40¢ | 31¢ | -$4 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $102 | 51¢ | 5.9¢ | -$91 |
 Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 64¢ | 46¢ | -$5 |
 Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 35¢ | 44¢ | +$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 7.5¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $15 | 39¢ | 20¢ | -$7 |
| Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $45 | 9.8¢ | 1.6¢ | -$38 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $4 | 41¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
 Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 70¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
 Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $3 | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 36¢ | 39¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.7¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $17 | 10¢ | 1.3¢ | -$15 |
 Will Oliver Junk win the next Hannover Region presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 21¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
 Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?Weather | Yes | $1 | 25¢ | 25¢ | -$0 |
 Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Cashed out Yes · Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?$023m ago