← Whale Watch

0x5D596B48aE81b9ba1Ac9c93a37e09E508ca65162-1775165964909

Predicting since Apr 202640 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1.1K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K47¢42¢-$120
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$25657¢57¢+$3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$37775¢50¢-$129
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$22468¢68¢+$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$25842¢34¢-$53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$15276¢86¢+$19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$9246¢46¢-$0
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$20836¢11¢-$146
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?PoliticsYes$3830¢44¢+$17
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$8470¢41¢-$35
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?PoliticsYes$4459¢62¢+$2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$4221¢21¢-$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$285.4¢4.9¢-$3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$4182¢43¢-$20
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$2819¢7.0¢-$17
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$115.4¢2.7¢-$5
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsYes$416¢16¢+$0
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63.0¢2.0¢-$2
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$143.4¢0.6¢-$11

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$43
Biggest hit
+$460
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Toughest beat
-$171
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$14320m ago
  • Sold Yes · US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?$91h ago
  • Sold Yes · US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?$24h ago
  • Sold Yes · US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?$224h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$207h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$615h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$5015h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$215h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$515h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$415h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$215h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$13815h ago