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TronOG

Predicting since Sep 2024332 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $36K on Politics markets since Sep 2024.

Right now: $21K riding on Iran Nuke before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$6.4K on Netanyahu out by March 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$21K93¢95¢+$474
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$18K85¢93¢+$1.6K
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsNo$17K94¢97¢+$520
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$16K95¢99¢+$779
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10K96¢99¢+$366
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$9.8K89¢92¢+$305
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$8.5K99¢100¢+$52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$6.7K99¢100¢+$90
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.5K97¢99¢+$110
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.4K89¢92¢+$125
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.9K94¢99¢+$176
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.5K81¢78¢-$99
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K95¢98¢+$38
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsNo$90090¢96¢+$61
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$24682¢96¢+$43
Iran coup attempt by December 31?PoliticsNo$24983¢88¢+$13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$18310¢12¢+$44
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$47560¢21¢-$314
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$65665¢15¢-$501
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$13916¢12¢-$41
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$432.3¢0.5¢-$33
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?OtherYes$2130¢5.9¢-$17
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3450¢0.0¢-$34
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?World CupYesResolved$2725¢0.0¢-$27
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$254.2¢0.0¢-$25
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Take First CornerWorld CupUnited StatesResolved$2458¢0.0¢-$24
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$7538¢0.0¢-$75
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?PoliticsNoResolved$51227¢0.0¢-$512
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?PoliticsYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$33124¢0.0¢-$331
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?PoliticsYesResolved$430¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$27012¢0.0¢-$270
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 22, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$116.1¢0.0¢-$11
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1258¢0.0¢-$12
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$23793¢0.0¢-$237
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$11163¢0.0¢-$111
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$11263¢0.0¢-$112
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupBosnia and HerzegovinaResolved$3216¢0.0¢-$32

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$36K
World Cup+$1.5K
Finance+$995
Economy-$504
Mentions-$72
Crypto-$70
Serie A-$56
Champions League-$52
Soccer (other)+$32
Other-$17
Weather+$4
Biggest hit
+$6.4K
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$840
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$4.1K1h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$6701h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$481h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$112h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$552h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$235h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$1255h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$4.5K6h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$6.8K7h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1.8K15h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$42915h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1.1K15h ago