← Whale Watch

Smart-bettor7

Predicting since Oct 2025507 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $43K on World Cup markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $13K across 7 World Cup markets.

Biggest hit: +$56K on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K76¢85¢+$170
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$70635¢44¢+$165
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$29415¢26¢+$217
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?CultureYes$3614¢8.9¢-$13
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$49282¢0.0¢-$492
Raptors vs. WizardsNBARaptorsResolved$43272¢0.0¢-$432
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$1.1K57¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?CryptoYesResolved$727.2¢0.0¢-$72
Will France win on 2026-06-16?World CupNoResolved$30634¢0.0¢-$306
US strike on Colombia by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$14412¢0.0¢-$144
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?CultureYesResolved$78849¢0.0¢-$788
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$56178¢0.0¢-$561
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$75469¢0.0¢-$754
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?CultureNoResolved$837.1¢0.0¢-$83
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?CultureYesResolved$60012¢0.0¢-$600
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$23722¢0.0¢-$237
Games Total: O/U 2.5eSportsOverResolved$40348¢0.0¢-$403
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$9828¢0.0¢-$98
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5.9K35¢0.0¢-$5.9K
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?TechYesResolved$13878¢0.0¢-$138
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$3612¢0.0¢-$36
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$40381¢0.0¢-$403
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5World CupUnderResolved$40851¢0.0¢-$408
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2.6K36¢0.0¢-$2.6K
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffseSportsFnaticResolved$5323¢0.0¢-$53
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceWorld CupGermanyResolved$98868¢0.0¢-$988
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$81474¢0.0¢-$814
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$27555¢0.0¢-$275
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$500.1¢0.0¢-$50
Jazz vs. ClippersNBAJazzResolved$13515¢0.0¢-$135
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$483.5¢0.0¢-$48
Spurs vs. LakersNBALakersResolved$3916¢0.0¢-$39
Celtics vs. LakersNBALakersResolved$13527¢0.0¢-$135
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3.1K14¢0.0¢-$3.1K
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$82759¢0.0¢-$827
Bucks vs. TimberwolvesNBABucksResolved$17017¢0.0¢-$170
Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$172.0¢0.0¢-$17
Rockets vs. NetsNBANetsResolved$13216¢0.0¢-$132
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5NBAOverResolved$60457¢0.0¢-$604
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?TechYesResolved$10124¢0.0¢-$101
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$65657¢0.0¢-$656
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$33011¢0.0¢-$330
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$166.3¢0.0¢-$16
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?PoliticsYesResolved$16821¢0.0¢-$168
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$454.5¢0.0¢-$45
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?PoliticsYesResolved$1002.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?CultureYesResolved$39729¢0.0¢-$397
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$23850¢0.0¢-$238
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?PoliticsYesResolved$30454¢0.0¢-$304
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3.2K18¢0.0¢-$3.2K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Champions LeagueYesResolved$9616¢0.0¢-$96
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld CupNetherlandsResolved$6.2K59¢0.0¢-$6.2K
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnereSportsVitalityResolved$100.1¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$36172¢0.0¢-$361
Knicks vs. SpursNBASpursResolved$47263¢0.0¢-$472
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?CultureYesResolved$270.6¢0.0¢-$27
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?TechYesResolved$38038¢0.0¢-$380
Games Total: O/U 2.5eSportsOverResolved$43248¢0.0¢-$432
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$28557¢0.0¢-$285
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?MentionsYesResolved$882¢0.0¢-$8
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8354¢0.0¢-$83
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$55766¢0.0¢-$557
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$5.6K30¢0.0¢-$5.6K
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?CultureYesResolved$250.4¢0.0¢-$25
Megaquake by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$2135¢0.0¢-$21
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?TennisYesResolved$23315¢0.0¢-$233
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1028.5¢0.0¢-$102
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$100.6¢0.0¢-$10
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAKhamzat ChimaevResolved$65682¢0.0¢-$656
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2531.5¢0.0¢-$253
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?TechNoResolved$40040¢0.0¢-$400
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$1.7K71¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?CultureNoResolved$23083¢0.0¢-$230
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$28056¢0.0¢-$280
Clippers vs. RocketsNBAClippersResolved$8417¢0.0¢-$84
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$38477¢0.0¢-$384
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?PoliticsNoResolved$18036¢0.0¢-$180
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K43¢0.0¢-$1.2K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11658¢0.0¢-$116
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?PoliticsYesResolved$6416¢0.0¢-$64
Suns vs. ThunderNBASunsResolved$14010.0¢0.0¢-$140
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?World CupYesResolved$1.5K80¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$40267¢0.0¢-$402
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$5623¢0.0¢-$56
Warriors vs. ClippersNBAWarriorsResolved$21253¢0.0¢-$212
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 11?CryptoNoResolved$11216¢0.0¢-$112
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$16323¢0.0¢-$163
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?CultureYesResolved$6331.8¢0.0¢-$633
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$15027¢0.0¢-$150
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in January 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$36573¢0.0¢-$365
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$41652¢0.0¢-$416
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$1.0K65¢0.0¢-$1.0K
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$25050¢0.0¢-$250
Spurs vs. ThunderNBAThunderResolved$54252¢0.0¢-$542
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$37575¢0.0¢-$375
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$3618¢0.0¢-$36
Will Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 29 - January 4)MentionsNoResolved$38653¢0.0¢-$386
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$29812¢0.0¢-$298

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup+$43K
Culture-$13K
Politics-$9.8K
Crypto-$5.6K
Mentions-$4.7K
Tech-$2.4K
eSports-$1.5K
Economy+$1.2K
Tennis-$543
Champions League+$519
NBA+$474
UFC / MMA-$466
Biggest hit
+$56K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Toughest beat
-$1.1K
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.0K6d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$66K6d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$9.0K6d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.9K10d ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.9K10d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6410d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.5K11d ago
  • Bought France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Corners AND Dani Olmo: 1+ assists AND Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?$1212d ago
  • Bought Swedish Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Hugo Gaston AND Bunschoten: Henri Squire vs Jan Kumstat AND Bunschoten (Doubles): Romios/Uesugi vs Battistone/Vance$1112d ago