← Whale Watch

RustyScissors

Predicting since Jun 20261,921 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by July 31?CryptoYes$21.0¢36¢+$70
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?FinanceNo$20.1¢0.9¢+$17
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?TechNo$818¢42¢+$10
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?NBAYes$20.1¢0.9¢+$16
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027?CryptoNo$823¢52¢+$10
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?EconomyYes$12.3¢28¢+$16
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by September 30?CultureYes$618¢47¢+$10
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?TechYes$10.1¢2.8¢+$15
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$33.0¢13¢+$12
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$36.0¢27¢+$12
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold PropositionPoliticsNo$629¢69¢+$8
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?PoliticsYes$717¢34¢+$7
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?OtherNo$729¢53¢+$6
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$726¢46¢+$5
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1058¢70¢+$2
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?PoliticsNo$1058¢66¢+$1
Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by more than 20%?PoliticsNo$813¢18¢+$3
Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?FinanceStripe$819¢24¢+$2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$952¢57¢+$1
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$638¢60¢+$4
Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?MentionsYes$734¢46¢+$2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of July?TechNo$835¢41¢+$1
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechNo$1144¢37¢-$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$952¢53¢+$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$47.0¢18¢+$6
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?TechNo$763¢80¢+$2
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?CultureNo$746¢57¢+$2
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$887¢95¢+$1
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$46.5¢14¢+$5
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechNo$21.0¢4.3¢+$7
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?TechNo$762¢72¢+$1
Will OnRe launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$726¢33¢+$2
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?PoliticsNo$888¢96¢+$1
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?PoliticsNo$715¢18¢+$1
Will Codex launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$746¢55¢+$1
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?FinanceNo$861¢63¢+$0
Will Veda launch a token by September 30, 2027?CryptoYes$729¢34¢+$1
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?TechYes$745¢52¢+$1
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?PoliticsNo$771¢81¢+$1
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?FinanceNo$783¢94¢+$1
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?TechYes$810¢10¢-$0
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?PoliticsNo$783¢93¢+$1
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsNo$762¢69¢+$1
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?PoliticsYes$718¢20¢+$1
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?PoliticsYes$785¢93¢+$1
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$766¢72¢+$1
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$713¢14¢+$1
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by July 31?FinanceYes$21.0¢3.8¢+$6
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?PoliticsYes$816¢15¢-$1
Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$21.0¢3.8¢+$5
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?OtherNo$742¢45¢+$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$727¢28¢+$0
California Tax Spend Audit PropositionPoliticsNo$866¢60¢-$1
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyNo$843¢39¢-$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsNo$1044¢33¢-$2
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?FinanceNo$761¢63¢+$0
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$10.1¢0.8¢+$6
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 27?FinanceDown$739¢40¢+$0
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$744¢44¢+$0
Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?CultureYes$749¢49¢-$0
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$776¢76¢-$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$762¢62¢-$0
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$783¢87¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?PoliticsYes$716¢16¢-$0
Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$764¢62¢-$0
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?PoliticsYes$713¢12¢-$0
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?TechNo$784¢80¢-$0
Tread FDV above $150M one day after launchCryptoNo$777¢73¢-$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$741¢39¢-$0
Will USD/KRW hit 1400 (Low) in 2026?FinanceYes$740¢38¢-$0
Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$424¢38¢+$2
Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoYes$836¢29¢-$2
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?TechYes$33.0¢5.3¢+$3
California Homebuying Loan Program PropositionPoliticsYes$843¢33¢-$2
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of July?TechYes$21.0¢2.9¢+$4
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?TechYes$726¢22¢-$1
Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$768¢56¢-$1
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$23.0¢9.0¢+$4
Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?PoliticsNo$106.2¢3.5¢-$4
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$838¢27¢-$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsYes$712¢9.5¢-$1
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?CultureNo$33.0¢4.7¢+$2
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?EconomyYes$824¢16¢-$3
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?EconomyYes$211¢26¢+$3
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?PoliticsNo$746¢34¢-$2
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$47.0¢8.5¢+$1
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?PoliticsYes$716¢11¢-$2
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?TechNo$720¢14¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceNo$714¢9.5¢-$2
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$739¢26¢-$2
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?TechNo$759¢39¢-$2
Will Alaska have the closest Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$716¢11¢-$2
Over $3M committed to the TownSquare public sale?CryptoYes$21.0¢2.5¢+$3
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$327¢43¢+$2
Epic Games IPO before 2027?TechYes$611¢8.6¢-$1
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?FinanceYes$36.0¢7.0¢+$1
Will Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$00.1¢4.6¢+$3
Will USD/KRW hit 1000 (Low) in 2026?FinanceYes$36.0¢5.8¢-$0
Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$736¢17¢-$4
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$314¢14¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Finance-$433
Politics-$336
Tech-$200
Weather+$127
Soccer (other)-$87
Crypto+$78
Mentions-$33
NFL-$25
Basketball (other)-$21
Economy+$15
Culture-$14
NBA-$13
Biggest hit
+$119
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
Toughest beat
-$9
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in July?$16m ago
  • Sold No · Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?$110m ago
  • Sold Yes · RipCars FDV above $1.5M one day after launch?$317m ago
  • Bought No · Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?$019m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?$737m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?$753m ago
  • Bought No · Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?$31h ago
  • Bought No · Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?$41h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · Over $2M committed to the TownSquare public sale?$71h ago
  • Sold Yes · Over $3M committed to the TownSquare public sale?$61h ago
  • Bought No · Tread FDV above $150M one day after launch$71h ago