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HongKongMenace

Predicting since Nov 202558 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $59K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $42K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$19K on Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$34K84¢81¢-$1.3K
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$29K96¢96¢-$44
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$13K96¢96¢+$9
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$85178¢95¢+$190
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$43474¢56¢-$104
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$23676¢97¢+$65
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$2732.8¢2.8¢-$3
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$12319¢19¢-$6
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?PoliticsNoResolved$30798¢0.0¢-$307
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$2.8K16¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$15K99¢0.0¢-$15K
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$70984¢0.0¢-$709

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$59K
Crypto+$1.4K
World Cup-$221
Biggest hit
+$19K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$1.7K
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$22d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$292d ago
  • Cashed out No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?$152d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.4K2d ago
  • Bought No · Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$7.7K2d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$2.6K2d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$29K4d ago
  • Bought No · Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$224d ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?$5.5K4d ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?$24d ago
  • Bought No · Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$434d ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?$24d ago