HongKongMenace

Predicting since Nov 202568 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $14K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $19K riding on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause).

Biggest hit: +$19K on Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$17K	88¢	88¢	-$95
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics	No	$15K	98¢	98¢	-$7
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$12K	90¢	85¢	-$782
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics	Yes	$7.6K	64¢	22¢	-$5.1K
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics	No	$851	78¢	95¢	+$189
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$617	19¢	19¢	-$23
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$434	74¢	84¢	+$54
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$391	93¢	94¢	+$2
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$273	2.8¢	2.9¢	+$17
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics	NoResolved	$307	98¢	0.0¢	-$307
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$2.8K	16¢	0.0¢	-$2.8K
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics	YesResolved	$15K	99¢	0.0¢	-$15K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$19K	92¢	0.0¢	-$19K
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Crypto	YesResolved	$0	33¢	0.0¢	-$0
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$709	84¢	0.0¢	-$709

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$14K

Crypto+$1.4K

World Cup-$221

Biggest hit

+$19K

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Toughest beat

-$29K

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Bought Yes · Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?$14619h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?$24519h ago
Bought Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.3K1d ago
Bought Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.9K1d ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$15K1d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?$3091d ago
Cashed out No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$18K1d ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$43K1d ago