RefJ.

Predicting since Nov 2024458 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?Politics	YesResolved	$30	8.2¢	100¢	+$340
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? Politics	NoResolved	$96	60¢	100¢	+$64
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Politics	YesResolved	$56	47¢	100¢	+$64
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Politics	YesResolved	$40	33¢	100¢	+$80
Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?Politics	YesResolved	$8	27¢	100¢	+$22
US government shutdown Saturday?Politics	YesResolved	$6	52¢	100¢	+$6
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$10	23¢	20¢	-$2
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics	Yes	$4	13¢	17¢	+$1
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics	Yes	$4	45¢	40¢	-$0
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$3	13¢	14¢	+$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$5	7.0¢	3.7¢	-$2
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$1	17¢	23¢	+$0
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$2	7.8¢	4.7¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	27¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$8	20¢	0.0¢	-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	36¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$8	37¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$4	22¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	27¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$2	12¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture+$360

Politics+$236

Soccer (other)-$201

eSports+$57

Other+$33

Finance-$24

Mentions+$9

Tech-$9

Economy+$7

World Cup+$3

Crypto-$2

Other sports-$0

Biggest hit

+$867

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Toughest beat

-$853

Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$41mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$11mo ago
Sold No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$01mo ago
Sold No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$01mo ago
Bought No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$21mo ago
Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$11mo ago
Bought No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11mo ago
Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$21mo ago
Bought Yes · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$11mo ago
Bought No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$31mo ago
Bought Yes · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$31mo ago
Sold Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$01mo ago