RefJ.

Predicting since Nov 2024486 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?Politics	YesResolved	$30	8.2¢	100¢	+$340
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? Politics	NoResolved	$96	60¢	100¢	+$64
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Politics	YesResolved	$56	47¢	100¢	+$64
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Politics	YesResolved	$40	33¢	100¢	+$80
Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?Politics	YesResolved	$8	27¢	100¢	+$22
Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Politics	Yes	$1	3.9¢	93¢	+$11
US government shutdown Saturday?Politics	YesResolved	$6	52¢	100¢	+$6
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$10	23¢	15¢	-$3
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?Politics	Yes	$2	26¢	74¢	+$4
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics	Yes	$2	32¢	99¢	+$4
Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?Politics	Yes	$3	57¢	72¢	+$1
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 11%?Politics	Under	$3	85¢	95¢	+$0
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?Politics	Under	$1	16¢	64¢	+$2
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$5	7.0¢	3.5¢	-$3
Will Leif-Erik Holm be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Politics	Yes	$1	1.8¢	2.3¢	+$0
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?Politics	Yes	$1	19¢	24¢	+$0
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	27¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$8	20¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics	YesResolved	$3	6.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics	YesResolved	$2	11¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Politics	YesResolved	$2	12¢	0.0¢	-$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	36¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$8	37¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$4	22¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	27¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$2	12¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture+$360

Politics+$248

Soccer (other)-$201

eSports+$57

Other+$33

Finance-$24

Mentions+$9

Tech-$9

Economy+$7

World Cup+$3

Crypto-$2

Other sports-$0

Biggest hit

+$867

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Toughest beat

-$853

Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Recent moves

Sold Under · Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?$130m ago
Sold Yes · Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?$032m ago
Bought Yes · Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?$140m ago
Sold Yes · Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$11h ago
Bought Yes · Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?$11h ago
Sold Yes · Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?$111h ago
Sold Yes · Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?$01h ago
Bought Yes · Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?$11h ago
Bought Yes · Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?$11h ago
Bought Yes · Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?$11h ago
Sold CDU · Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?$12h ago
Bought Under · Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 11%?$32h ago