AdrianMLE

Predicting since Jan 202635 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$3	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$3
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Crypto	YesResolved	$41	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$41
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$3	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$5	6.3¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?Finance	YesResolved	$2	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$2	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Politics	NoResolved	$5	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Economy	YesResolved	$5	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Politics	YesResolved	$5	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$2	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$3	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?Finance	YesResolved	$7	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$5	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the US strike Venezuela next?Politics	YesResolved	$2	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Politics	YesResolved	$3	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$10	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	15¢	0.0¢	-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$44

Politics-$35

Economy-$14

Tech-$11

Finance-$9

Biggest hit

+$7

Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Toughest beat

-$9

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$416mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$16mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$26mo ago
Sold Yes · Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?$46mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$26mo ago
Sold Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$36mo ago
Sold Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$46mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$56mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$36mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?$36mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$36mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$56mo ago