← Whale Watch

AdrianMLE

Predicting since Jan 202635 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$411.1¢0.0¢-$41
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?TechNoResolved$56.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?FinanceYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$21.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?PoliticsNoResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?PoliticsYesResolved$50.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$21.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?FinanceYesResolved$70.4¢0.0¢-$7
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?TechYesResolved$53.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US strike Venezuela next?PoliticsYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$100.1¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$44
Politics-$35
Economy-$14
Tech-$11
Finance-$9
Biggest hit
+$7
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Toughest beat
-$9
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$414mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$14mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$24mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?$44mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$24mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$34mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$44mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$54mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$34mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?$34mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$34mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$54mo ago