← Whale Watch

skibabiba

Predicting since Dec 2025119 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $26K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $25K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?.

Biggest hit: +$19K on Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$25K88¢85¢-$1.1K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$20K66¢67¢+$150
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$12K76¢95¢+$2.9K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$13K83¢87¢+$547
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$10K76¢80¢+$475
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$7.6K82¢95¢+$1.3K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$7.6K84¢95¢+$977
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$7.4K78¢88¢+$958
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$7.2K80¢82¢+$193
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$5.1K78¢100¢+$1.4K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.2K77¢94¢+$1.1K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.2K86¢99¢+$789
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$5.0K87¢95¢+$435
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.0K87¢94¢+$377
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.1K92¢97¢+$300
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$5.0K88¢93¢+$259
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$5.0K91¢96¢+$278
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$5.0K86¢89¢+$174
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$5.1K79¢80¢+$32
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$5.0K94¢96¢+$66
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$5.0K59¢56¢-$213
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$5.0K72¢68¢-$315
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$6.7K75¢43¢-$2.9K
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3.0K78¢92¢+$520
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$5.0K60¢36¢-$2.0K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.7K70¢68¢-$95
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K78¢93¢+$373
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.0K88¢96¢+$176
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2.5K95¢82¢-$338
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$3.1K71¢47¢-$1.1K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$2.6K66¢37¢-$1.2K
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.1K90¢88¢-$30
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K64¢66¢+$24
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$3.0K80¢19¢-$2.3K
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5.1K61¢0.0¢-$5.1K
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$12K85¢0.0¢-$12K
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?PoliticsNoResolved$7.1K91¢0.0¢-$7.1K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$26K
Boxing-$2.0K
Weather+$1.5K
Economy-$1.3K
Tech+$1.1K
Crypto-$1.0K
eSports-$894
Culture+$297
Biggest hit
+$19K
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Toughest beat
-$5.3K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$4061d ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$41d ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$4501d ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$4961d ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$2.7K1d ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$9441d ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$2.2K1d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$922d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$1862d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$192d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$42d ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by September 30?$4.6K2d ago