Machiavellian

Predicting since Oct 2024206 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $5.2K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Biggest hit: +$4.4K on Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Weather	Yes	$244	9.4¢	2.8¢	-$172
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	Yes	$28	7.0¢	4.5¢	-$10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics	No	$23	21¢	16¢	-$6
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics	Yes	$6	6.0¢	6.3¢	+$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics	Yes	$15	3.7¢	1.0¢	-$11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Politics	NoResolved	$44	22¢	0.0¢	-$44
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$11	22¢	0.0¢	-$11
US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$19	19¢	0.0¢	-$19
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$4	12¢	0.0¢	-$4
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$22	15¢	0.0¢	-$22
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$72	21¢	0.0¢	-$72
Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics	YesResolved	$10	8.7¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$14	28¢	0.0¢	-$14
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$60	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$60
US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?Politics	YesResolved	$19	47¢	0.0¢	-$19
Will XRP reach $3.30 in October?Crypto	YesResolved	$27	53¢	0.0¢	-$27
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$17	5.6¢	0.0¢	-$17
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$115	33¢	0.0¢	-$115
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Politics	YesResolved	$24	47¢	0.0¢	-$24
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$18	12¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics	YesResolved	$20	13¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$38	19¢	0.0¢	-$38
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	20¢	0.0¢	-$20
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$49	8.1¢	0.0¢	-$49
John Brennan federally charged by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$19	16¢	0.0¢	-$19
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by October 31?Crypto	YesResolved	$19	14¢	0.0¢	-$19
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$38	38¢	0.0¢	-$38
South Park: JD Vance becomes President?Culture	YesResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
Democratic sweep?Politics	NoResolved	$20	20¢	0.0¢	-$20
John Brennan federally charged by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$38	24¢	0.0¢	-$38
Starmer out in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$10	10¢	0.0¢	-$10
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$16	16¢	0.0¢	-$16

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$5.2K

Mentions-$370

Weather-$172

Culture-$90

Crypto-$69

Boxing+$30

Other sports-$26

Tech-$15

NFL+$10

Finance+$3

Biggest hit

+$4.4K

Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?

Toughest beat

-$360

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

Cashed out Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$282mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$142mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$02mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$02mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$502mo ago
Bought No · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$232mo ago
Bought Yes · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$52mo ago
Sold No · Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?$192mo ago
Bought No · Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?$202mo ago
Bought Yes · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$12mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$402mo ago