Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $66 | 34¢ | 54¢ | +$39 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $87 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $31 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $16 | 45¢ | 78¢ | +$12 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $18 | 59¢ | 89¢ | +$9 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $25 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $22 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Politics | No | $17 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 35¢ | 69¢ | +$6 |
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics | No | $14 | 39¢ | 32¢ | -$3 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 82¢ | 59¢ | -$4 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 82¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $7 | 69¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | Yes | $10 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 74¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 52¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 73¢ | 30¢ | -$9 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 44¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $6 | 30¢ | 30¢ | -$0 |
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 75¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 45¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 53¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 68¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $3 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 61¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 56¢ | 13¢ | -$9 |
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 68¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 74¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | No | $1 | 49¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1 | 59¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Politics | No | $1 | 31¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 85¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $139 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$139 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $41 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |