← Whale Watch

Mur.

Predicting since Aug 2025113 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$25653¢8.5¢-$215
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1076¢100¢+$3
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?CryptoNoResolved$1089¢100¢+$1
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1093¢100¢+$1
Joe Biden arrested by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$10100¢100¢+$0
Cardano ETF in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$114¢100¢+$9
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?TechNoResolved$564¢100¢+$3
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechNoResolved$232¢100¢+$4
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?PoliticsNoResolved$352¢100¢+$3
TikTok sale announced in 2025?TechYesResolved$118¢100¢+$5
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$595¢100¢+$0
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$485¢100¢+$1
Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?CultureNoResolved$590¢100¢+$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$481¢100¢+$1
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$485¢100¢+$1
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$492¢100¢+$0
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$375¢100¢+$1
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureNoResolved$256¢100¢+$2
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$385¢100¢+$1
Will Eric Adams join Trump administration by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$389¢100¢+$0
US recession in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$393¢100¢+$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$393¢100¢+$0
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$393¢100¢+$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$393¢100¢+$0
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?CryptoNoResolved$393¢100¢+$0
Trump out as President in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$395¢100¢+$0
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$264¢100¢+$1
US bank failure by November 30?EconomyNoResolved$271¢100¢+$1
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$272¢100¢+$1
North Korea missile launch by October 15?PoliticsNoResolved$273¢100¢+$1
Will Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$280¢100¢+$1
Will another MrBeast video get 55m+ day 1 views by September 30?CultureNoResolved$281¢100¢+$0
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$282¢100¢+$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$284¢100¢+$0
French election called by November 30?PoliticsNoResolved$286¢100¢+$0
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$287¢100¢+$0
US government shutdown in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$144¢100¢+$1
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?CultureNoResolved$289¢100¢+$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$291¢100¢+$0
Will Laura Loomer join Trump administration by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$292¢100¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$293¢100¢+$0
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$293¢100¢+$0
Xi Jinping out in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$294¢100¢+$0
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$295¢100¢+$0
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$295¢100¢+$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$295¢100¢+$0
US x Russia military clash by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$296¢100¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$296¢100¢+$0
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$297¢100¢+$0
AfD banned in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$297¢100¢+$0
Obama divorce in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$297¢100¢+$0
Bezos divorce in 2025?TechNoResolved$297¢100¢+$0
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$297¢100¢+$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?TechNoResolved$156¢100¢+$1
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$165¢100¢+$1
Weed rescheduled in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$166¢100¢+$1
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?TechNoResolved$172¢100¢+$0
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?PoliticsNoResolved$174¢100¢+$0
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$175¢100¢+$0
Meta releases Llama 5 in 2025?TechNoResolved$176¢100¢+$0
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?TechNoResolved$180¢100¢+$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$180¢100¢+$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$180¢100¢+$0
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$180¢100¢+$0
Will Axiom launch a token in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$182¢100¢+$0
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$184¢100¢+$0
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$184¢100¢+$0
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?PoliticsNoResolved$185¢100¢+$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$189¢100¢+$0
Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?TechNoResolved$190¢100¢+$0
Pepe ETF in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$192¢100¢+$0
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?TechNoResolved$193¢100¢+$0
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?CultureYesResolved$193¢100¢+$0
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?PoliticsYesResolved$193¢100¢+$0
Iran nuclear test in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$194¢100¢+$0
Will Bitcoin hard fork before 2026?CryptoNoResolved$195¢100¢+$0
Fed rate cut in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$195¢100¢+$0
Zelensky resigns in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$196¢100¢+$0
US bank failure by September 30?FinanceNoResolved$196¢100¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?PoliticsNoResolved$196¢100¢+$0
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$197¢100¢+$0
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? EconomyNoResolved$197¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?TechNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?WeatherNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?PoliticsNoResolved$247¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? PoliticsYesResolved$142¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)NoResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?CultureNoResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
ECB rate cut in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$161¢0.0¢-$1
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?TechYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNoResolved$337¢0.0¢-$3
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$190¢0.0¢-$1
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?PoliticsNoResolved$163¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?TechNoResolved$135¢0.0¢-$1
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$223
Tech+$7
Crypto+$6
Economy-$4
Soccer (other)-$2
Culture+$0
Finance+$0
Weather+$0
Toughest beat
-$1
Ripple ETF approved in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2564mo ago
  • Bought No · Zelensky resigns in 2025?$18mo ago
  • Bought No · French election called by November 30?$28mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?$18mo ago
  • Bought No · Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$18mo ago
  • Bought No · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?$28mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$38mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Zelensky resigns in 2025?$18mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$28mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?$18mo ago
  • Bought Yes · French election called by November 30?$18mo ago
  • Bought No · Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$28mo ago