← Whale Watch

atomicannie

Predicting since Dec 2025479 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $6.3K on Tech markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $1.4K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$5.9K on Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.4K43¢81¢+$1.2K
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$34845¢100¢+$424
Natural Disaster in 2026?WeatherYes$33130¢22¢-$89
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?PoliticsNoResolved$23197¢100¢+$8
5kt meteor strike in 2026?WeatherYes$33939¢26¢-$115
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$12864¢100¢+$72
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?PoliticsYesResolved$2412¢100¢+$176
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$15285¢96¢+$20
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$2718¢100¢+$129
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsNo$23565¢26¢-$141
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$14217¢12¢-$49
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$433.1¢6.6¢+$49
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$431.1¢1.5¢+$15
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$1112.5¢1.2¢-$58
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$471.4¢1.1¢-$8
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsYes$20.4¢7.0¢+$36
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?TechNoResolved$2286¢100¢+$4
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$270.7¢0.7¢-$1
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$1012.5¢0.6¢-$77
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$192.8¢2.1¢-$5
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$221.1¢0.7¢-$8
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$81.7¢1.7¢+$0
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?TechYes$427¢34¢+$1
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$121.1¢0.4¢-$7
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$90.6¢0.3¢-$6
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsYes$00.1¢3.6¢+$2
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$10.7¢0.9¢+$1
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?TechYes$216¢9.5¢-$1
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsYes$00.4¢10¢+$1
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$19539¢0.0¢-$195
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1119¢0.0¢-$11
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?TechNoResolved$319.0¢0.0¢-$31
Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?TechYesResolved$70.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechNoResolved$606.0¢0.0¢-$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in February?EconomyYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will Francisco Trincão record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$22.3¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5051¢0.0¢-$50
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?NFLNoResolved$112.1¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$37.0¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$690.9¢0.0¢-$69
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? PoliticsYesResolved$4220¢0.0¢-$42
Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?CryptoYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$173.3¢0.0¢-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on February 28?EconomyYesResolved$1115¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$96.0¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?PoliticsYesResolved$9929¢0.0¢-$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$96.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$61.1¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5111¢0.0¢-$51
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?PoliticsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?TechYesResolved$175.3¢0.0¢-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$96.0¢0.0¢-$9
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?TechYesResolved$1412.8¢0.0¢-$141
Will Claude 5 be released on February 7, 2026?TechYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?EconomyYesResolved$1131¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$7437¢0.0¢-$74
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$30.5¢0.0¢-$3
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchPoliticsSomethingResolved$37649¢0.0¢-$376
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1846¢0.0¢-$18
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$337.2¢0.0¢-$33
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?TechYesResolved$76.6¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$96.0¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$46.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?NFLYesResolved$78.3¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$96.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?NFLYesResolved$31.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?TechNoResolved$25756¢0.0¢-$257
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5051¢0.0¢-$50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2142¢0.0¢-$21
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-07?BundesligaYesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3981¢0.0¢-$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$12024¢0.0¢-$120
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?TechYesResolved$50220¢0.0¢-$502
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$30.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 29)MentionsNoResolved$1115¢0.0¢-$11
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?TechNoResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?FinanceDownResolved$163.0¢0.0¢-$16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$13.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6011¢0.0¢-$60
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$6.3K
Politics+$1.6K
Weather-$389
Culture-$188
NFL+$92
Economy+$92
Crypto+$73
Finance+$41
Mentions-$16
Champions League-$2
Bundesliga-$2
Biggest hit
+$5.9K
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.2K
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?