Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $1.4K | 43¢ | 81¢ | +$1.2K |
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $348 | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$424 |
Natural Disaster in 2026?Weather | Yes | $331 | 30¢ | 22¢ | -$89 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?Politics | NoResolved | $231 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | Yes | $339 | 39¢ | 26¢ | -$115 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $128 | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$72 |
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 12¢ | 100¢ | +$176 |
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics | No | $152 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$20 |
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $27 | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$129 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $235 | 65¢ | 26¢ | -$141 |
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $142 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$49 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 3.1¢ | 6.6¢ | +$49 |
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 1.1¢ | 1.5¢ | +$15 |
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $111 | 2.5¢ | 1.2¢ | -$58 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $47 | 1.4¢ | 1.1¢ | -$8 |
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.4¢ | 7.0¢ | +$36 |
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $22 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $101 | 2.5¢ | 0.6¢ | -$77 |
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 2.8¢ | 2.1¢ | -$5 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 1.1¢ | 0.7¢ | -$8 |
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.7¢ | 1.7¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 1.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$7 |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 0.6¢ | 0.3¢ | -$6 |
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 3.6¢ | +$2 |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.4¢ | 10¢ | +$1 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $195 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$195 |
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | NoResolved | $31 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $60 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in February?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Francisco Trincão record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $2 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $50 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?NFL | NoResolved | $11 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $69 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $11 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $9 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics | YesResolved | $99 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $9 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $51 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $17 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $9 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $141 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$141 |
Will Claude 5 be released on February 7, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $11 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $74 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchPolitics | SomethingResolved | $376 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$376 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $18 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $9 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $6 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?NFL | YesResolved | $7 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $9 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?NFL | YesResolved | $3 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $257 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$257 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $50 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-07?Bundesliga | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $39 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $120 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $502 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$502 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 29)Mentions | NoResolved | $11 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?Finance | DownResolved | $16 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |