← Whale Watch

LuisSmith5060

Predicting since Nov 2025205 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sportsNo$5835¢80¢+$74
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?CryptoNo$2821¢92¢+$96
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4149¢94¢+$37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2253¢56¢+$1
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?PoliticsNo$877¢99¢+$2
Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?CryptoNo$995¢98¢+$0
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?CryptoNo$694¢96¢+$0
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$239¢100¢+$3
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$171¢56¢-$0
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?TechYesResolved$010.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Pete" or "Hegseth" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?MentionsYesResolved$6590¢0.0¢-$65
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?NBANoResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$2468¢0.0¢-$24
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?NBAYesResolved$03.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?MentionsYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?TechYesResolved$257¢0.0¢-$2
Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?TechYesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?TechNoResolved$2278¢0.0¢-$22
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?NBANoResolved$1750¢0.0¢-$17
Freddie Mac IPO in 2025?TechYesResolved$31.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will PEAK win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sportsNoResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$33.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in December?WeatherYesResolved$12.5¢0.0¢-$1
IDF Chief Eyal  Zamir out by December 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?PoliticsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?TechYesResolved$22.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$22.1¢0.0¢-$2
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1665¢0.0¢-$16
Cerebras IPO before 2027?TechNoResolved$4728¢0.0¢-$47
Ramp IPO in 2025?TechYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?TechNoResolved$1223¢0.0¢-$12
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?PoliticsNoResolved$7855¢0.0¢-$78
HumidiFi FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$45.0¢0.0¢-$4
Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025? FinanceYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$2476¢0.0¢-$24
Turkish forces in Gaza in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Coinbase US perps offer more than 10x leverage?CryptoYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$188
Culture+$123
Tech-$111
Other sports+$97
Politics+$56
Mentions-$52
NBA-$20
Economy+$17
Weather+$10
NFL-$4
eSports+$1
Finance+$0
Biggest hit
+$123
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Toughest beat
-$28
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$82mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Raul Perestrello win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$112mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)$272mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$322mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$422mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?$602mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?$852mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$1042mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?$1802mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$3972mo ago