← Whale Watch

rhinogiraffe

Predicting since May 20261,193 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.1K on Weather markets since May 2026.

Right now: $976 riding on MT-02 House Election Winner.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republican Party win the MT-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$97693¢94¢+$5
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?PoliticsYes$59781¢82¢+$7
Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat?PoliticsYes$58883¢85¢+$14
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$51397¢100¢+$13
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$45763¢68¢+$33
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$66038¢23¢-$267
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$30127¢27¢-$3
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$25994¢98¢+$10
Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$25494¢94¢-$1
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceNo$21535¢28¢-$43
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$14653¢53¢-$1
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$14653¢49¢-$11
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$15330¢24¢-$34
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$10871¢76¢+$7
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?PoliticsYes$10615¢16¢+$4
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?PoliticsYes$11616¢14¢-$15
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueNo$9898¢98¢-$0
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueNo$9696¢97¢+$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$9696¢96¢+$0
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechNo$11021¢19¢-$14
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$8654¢57¢+$5
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueNo$9393¢91¢-$3
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueNo$8989¢89¢-$1
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueNo$8989¢89¢-$1
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?PoliticsNo$8686¢82¢-$4
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?PoliticsYes$7393¢95¢+$2
Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$7396¢96¢+$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueNo$7373¢71¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$7093¢94¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$6943¢43¢+$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$6620¢20¢+$1
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?NBANo$1320¢99¢+$54
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$6383¢85¢+$2
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueNo$6363¢64¢+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$3535¢60¢+$24
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$462.5¢2.9¢+$7
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?TechNo$5395¢95¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$4794¢94¢-$0
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$2452¢100¢+$21
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$291.6¢2.4¢+$14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4012¢13¢+$2
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4714¢12¢-$6
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$6270¢47¢-$21
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechYes$90.8¢3.8¢+$32
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$1722¢42¢+$15
Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?PoliticsYes$3293¢93¢+$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$3098¢100¢+$1
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$2994¢100¢+$2
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechNo$3096¢96¢-$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$267.9¢8.8¢+$3
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?PoliticsNo$1616¢30¢+$14
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$278.0¢8.5¢+$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2662¢56¢-$3
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$271.5¢1.1¢-$6
Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)No$2093¢91¢-$0
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)No$2090¢90¢+$0
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)No$1987¢90¢+$1
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)No$2091¢90¢-$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$181.0¢1.1¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?PoliticsYes$1989¢90¢+$0
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)No$1880¢85¢+$1
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$343.1¢1.7¢-$16
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$201.1¢0.9¢-$3
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$175.1¢4.9¢-$1
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?PoliticsYes$952¢78¢+$5
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$150.8¢0.8¢-$1
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$150.8¢0.8¢-$1
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$150.8¢0.8¢-$1
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)No$1568¢60¢-$2
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$150.8¢0.7¢-$3
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.7¢-$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$1429¢24¢-$3
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$111.0¢0.9¢-$1
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$111.0¢0.9¢-$1
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$744.3¢0.6¢-$63
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$150.8¢0.5¢-$5
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.7¢0.5¢-$3
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$1098¢99¢+$0
Will Miami Marlins win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLBNo$1098¢99¢+$0
Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLBNo$1098¢98¢+$0
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLBNo$1098¢98¢-$0
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$1098¢97¢-$0
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$1098¢97¢-$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$1035¢34¢-$0
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$1098¢97¢-$0
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$1097¢96¢-$0
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$1098¢96¢-$0
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$993¢95¢+$0
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$995¢95¢-$0
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$994¢94¢+$0
Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLBNo$993¢94¢+$0
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$993¢93¢+$0
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLBNo$990¢91¢+$0
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$991¢91¢+$0
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLBNo$989¢89¢-$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$92.8¢2.6¢-$1
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoCryptoSomething$73.6¢4.8¢+$2
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$988¢87¢-$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?PoliticsYes$931¢30¢-$0
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$100.9¢0.8¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather-$1.1K
NBA+$608
World Cup-$343
Tennis+$280
Politics-$227
Other sports-$110
Finance+$92
Economy+$79
Tech+$29
eSports+$26
NHL+$13
Premier League-$6
Biggest hit
+$761
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Toughest beat
-$1.2K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 24?$51d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 24?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 24?$171d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 21?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 21?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 24?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 24?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 24?$41d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 24?$21d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or below on July 24?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 45°C or higher on July 24?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 44°C on July 24?$01d ago