Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $20K | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$12K |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $20K | 50¢ | 19¢ | -$12K |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $943 | 74¢ | 89¢ | +$190 |
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? eSports | No | $365 | 80¢ | 97¢ | +$77 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | Yes | $344 | 46¢ | 54¢ | +$52 |
Eric Adams charged by December 31?Politics | No | $314 | 64¢ | 74¢ | +$47 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $166 | 23¢ | 40¢ | +$120 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?Tech | No | $13 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | Yes | $112 | 5.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$102 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $124 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $433 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$433 |
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 WinnereSports | Team Secret WhalesResolved | $694 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$694 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)eSports | G2 EsportsResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 WinnereSports | LYONResolved | $30 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Team Secret Whales win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $124 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnereSports | Deep Cross GamingResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?Politics | YesResolved | $71 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 WinnereSports | Top EsportsResolved | $310 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$310 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $124 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
LoL: DN SOOPers vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group StageeSports | DN SOOPersResolved | $751 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$751 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $135 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$135 |
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $41 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $121 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
Will T1 win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $60 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnereSports | G2 EsportsResolved | $24 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 18, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $38 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)eSports | Top EsportsResolved | $328 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$328 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 22, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $596 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$596 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnereSports | Team Secret WhalesResolved | $24 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech | YesResolved | $319 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$319 |
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffseSports | Top EsportsResolved | $150 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $124 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?Politics | YesResolved | $71 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $64 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffseSports | T1Resolved | $15 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 WinnereSports | T1Resolved | $377 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$377 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 1, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $18 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 19, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs C9eSports | DKResolved | $842 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$842 |
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs LOSeSports | LOSResolved | $20 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $37 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 29, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 25, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $212 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$212 |
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 5, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnereSports | Karmine CorpResolved | $42 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffseSports | FURIA EsportsResolved | $150 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnereSports | T1Resolved | $1.0K | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
Will FURIA win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $20 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnereSports | Bilibili GamingResolved | $233 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$233 |
Games Total: O/U 4.5eSports | OverResolved | $15 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| ZEDI Esports to win 2-0?eSports | YesResolved | $501 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$501 |
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $124 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)eSports | LYONResolved | $56 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnereSports | Top EsportsResolved | $917 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$917 |
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnereSports | T1Resolved | $37 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)eSports | Bilibili GamingResolved | $52 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnereSports | Top EsportsResolved | $568 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$568 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $124 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 WinnereSports | G2 EsportsResolved | $260 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$260 |
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnereSports | Deep Cross GamingResolved | $6 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Karmine Corp win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $124 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnereSports | Team LiquidResolved | $51 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnereSports | Deep Cross GamingResolved | $370 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$370 |
| Will GPT-5.6 not be released before August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $33 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |