StillWater0

Predicting since Apr 2026511 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	No	$65	65¢	73¢	+$8
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Tech	Yes	$46	91¢	94¢	+$2
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$35	35¢	39¢	+$3
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Finance	No	$31	31¢	37¢	+$6
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$32	63¢	62¢	-$1
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$17	17¢	30¢	+$12
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Soccer (other)	Yes	$33	21¢	17¢	-$6
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Tech	No	$25	84¢	83¢	-$0
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Soccer (other)	Yes	$25	19¢	15¢	-$5
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Tech	No	$18	21¢	23¢	+$1
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$23	23¢	19¢	-$4
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance	No	$19	16¢	15¢	-$1
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech	No	$14	7.0¢	7.0¢	+$0
Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	Yes	$30	30¢	12¢	-$18
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	Yes	$10	3.3¢	2.8¢	-$2
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	Yes	$36	6.0¢	1.1¢	-$30
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$33	17¢	0.0¢	-$33

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$669

Crypto+$500

World Cup+$291

Mentions+$208

Weather+$97

Champions League+$48

UFC / MMA+$28

Culture-$28

Finance+$25

Economy-$22

Tech-$16

Soccer (other)+$10

Biggest hit

+$477

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$305

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Sold Yes · Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?$1618m ago
Sold Yes · Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?$4023m ago
Sold Yes · Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?$1025m ago
Sold Yes · Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?$825m ago
Bought No · Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?$1733m ago
Bought No · Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?$934m ago
Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$19h ago
Cashed out No · Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$509h ago
Bought No · Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?$417h ago
Bought No · Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?$120h ago
Bought No · Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?$420h ago
Bought No · Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?$920h ago