Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $229 | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$304 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $100 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$55 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $100 | 17¢ | 4.8¢ | -$71 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 25¢ | 4.0¢ | -$84 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $15 | 3.3¢ | 2.9¢ | -$2 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 33¢ | 8.5¢ | -$37 |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $30 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $46 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Taylor Swift say "Pregnant" during Tonight Show on October 6?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $120 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Will Elon apologize to Trump before August?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will turnout be between 63% and 66% in the Czech election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will SPOLU get between 20% and 23% of the vote in the Czech election?Politics | YesResolved | $198 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$198 |
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $100 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Kanye West arrested in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)eSports | Anyones LegendResolved | $115 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?eSports | NoResolved | $200 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will STAČILO! get less than 5% of the vote in the Czech election?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Next French confidence vote passes?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $55 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will SPD get between 10% and 13% of the vote in the Czech election?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Democratic sweep?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Taylor Swift say "Trump" during Tonight Show on October 6?Mentions | YesResolved | $12 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | YesResolved | $200 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will ANO get between 30% and 33% of the vote in the Czech election?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $100 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $55 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Will SPOLU get between 23% and 26% of the vote in the Czech election?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |