 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $13K | 74¢ | 88¢ | +$2.4K |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $9.8K | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$903 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $8.1K | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$434 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $4.1K | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$371 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $3.6K | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$116 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $2.6K | 41¢ | 38¢ | -$208 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $2.3K | 50¢ | 48¢ | -$99 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $1.9K | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$192 |
 Will Micron (MU) close above $1,220 end of July?Finance | No | $1.8K | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$18 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1.5K | 91¢ | 80¢ | -$189 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech | No | $1.2K | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$59 |
| Will Micron (MU) close above $1,100 end of July?Finance | No | $750 | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$185 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $703 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$17 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in July?Finance | No | $599 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $572 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $438 | 68¢ | 81¢ | +$90 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in July?Finance | No | $466 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$51 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in July?Finance | No | $475 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$41 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $500 | 42¢ | 33¢ | -$104 |
 Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $232 | 55¢ | 86¢ | +$131 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $312 | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$50 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $261 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$14 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $248 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$18 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in July?Finance | No | $233 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$3 |
| Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?Weather | Yes | $185 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $139 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$6 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | No | $125 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $90 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $148 | 74¢ | 45¢ | -$59 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in July?Finance | No | $59 | 45¢ | 49¢ | +$5 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in July?Finance | No | $54 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $95 | 19¢ | 12¢ | -$38 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in July?Finance | No | $49 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $33 | 65¢ | 81¢ | +$8 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $62 | 12¢ | 7.5¢ | -$25 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $135 | 22¢ | 2.9¢ | -$118 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $52 | 77¢ | 21¢ | -$38 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $4 | 28¢ | 80¢ | +$8 |
| Will Micron (MU) close above $1,340 end of July?Finance | No | $8 | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,620 in July?Finance | No | $9 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Soccer (other) | No | $7 | 72¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $9 | 85¢ | 68¢ | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech | Yes | $41 | 43¢ | 3.4¢ | -$38 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $230 | 46¢ | 0.5¢ | -$227 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $13 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $64 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
 Will Josh Giddey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?NBA | YesResolved | $14 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $127 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$127 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $2.2K | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
 Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $430 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$430 |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5)World Cup | SpainResolved | $50 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $276 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$276 |
 Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie A | YesResolved | $12 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $62 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
 Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $182 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$182 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $420 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$420 |
 Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Champions League | YesResolved | $18 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-28?Champions League | YesResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Soccer (other) | SS LazioResolved | $44 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5)World Cup | BrazilResolved | $12 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $201 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$201 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Tech | NoResolved | $13K | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13K |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $70 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie A | NoResolved | $890 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$890 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $688 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$688 |
| Spurs vs. ThunderNBA | ThunderResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $152 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
 Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $33 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $44 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,230 Week of June 22 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $28 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $34 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Spread: Spain (-5.5)World Cup | SpainResolved | $4 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $172 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$172 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $705 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$705 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $161 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$161 |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie A | YesResolved | $142 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$142 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of July 20 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $20 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $189 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$189 |
 Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $72 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $46 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $12 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?World Cup | YesResolved | $182 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$182 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $155 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$155 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?World Cup | NoResolved | $88 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
| Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $51 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $263 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$263 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $869 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$869 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?Economy | NoResolved | $2.0K | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
 Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | EnglandResolved | $168 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$168 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Economy | NoResolved | $5 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $219 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$219 |
| Spread: England (-1.5)World Cup | EnglandResolved | $31 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |