 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionPolitics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US bank failure by March 31?Economy | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Trump out as President by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Antonia Ruzic vs Anastasia ZakharovaTennis | ZakharovaResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31?Other | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US recession in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of January?Finance | NoResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Robert Redford be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US civil war in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in January 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the next James Bond be British?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Quentin HalysTennis | HalysResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Diogo Jota be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by August 31?$2010d ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?$521d ago
Bought No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$321d ago
Bought No · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$322d ago
Bought Yes · Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?$222d ago
Bought Yes · Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?$222d ago
Sold No · Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?$224d ago
Bought Yes · Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$324d ago
Bought Yes · Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?$524d ago