 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.6K | 53¢ | 95¢ | +$1.3K |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.5K | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$15 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $929 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$42 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $834 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$46 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $685 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$87 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $541 | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$27 |
 Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?Politics | No | $417 | 72¢ | 98¢ | +$150 |
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?Politics | No | $507 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$27 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $501 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$16 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $408 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$27 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $374 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$53 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?Politics | Yes | $516 | 48¢ | 33¢ | -$167 |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $277 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$14 |
 Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?Politics | No | $248 | 68¢ | 74¢ | +$20 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $227 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$37 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $192 | 56¢ | 63¢ | +$23 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $146 | 42¢ | 48¢ | +$21 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $130 | 79¢ | 91¢ | +$19 |
 Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?Politics | No | $133 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$16 |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $326 | 54¢ | 24¢ | -$180 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Politics | No | $130 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $115 | 9.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$6 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $164 | 2.6¢ | 1.3¢ | -$85 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $80 | 65¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $66 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $62 | 2.6¢ | 2.7¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $51 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 59¢ | 83¢ | +$12 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 2.5¢ | 4.8¢ | +$17 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | No | $27 | 61¢ | 49¢ | -$5 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $100 | 2.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$93 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 1.6¢ | 5.1¢ | +$4 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 22¢ | 1.7¢ | -$12 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Mistral have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $95 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $600 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$600 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $693 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$693 |
 Will any other model be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $98 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $2.2K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $898 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$898 |
| Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $41 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $216 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$216 |
 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |